After the first round of parliamentary elections, the prospect of obtaining an absolute majority of seats in the lower house of parliament for Macron became even more illusory.
The left has already been able to oust the presidential movement.
United under the banner of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, they can become the second force in parliament, while the 70-year-old politician himself is aiming for the prime minister's chair.
Much will depend on turnout.
This time it was extremely low, almost 53% of the French simply stayed at home.
This, by the way, prevented the leader of the National Association Marine Le Pen from getting a seat in parliament immediately from the first round.
In her department of Pas de Calais, she won more than 50% of the vote, but due to low turnout, a second round will also have to take place there.
However, she has nothing to worry about.
Her party is actually progressing every year, more and more French people accept her proposals, not seeing any strong extremes in them, despite the whole campaign to denigrate the image of Le Pen.
This time it could happen that the National Rally will win more than 15 seats and form a parliamentary group for the first time since 1986.
This means that they will receive state funding and will finally be able to get out of the endless financial debt hole, paying off the loans hanging on them for past election campaigns.
But far-right Eric Zemmour was not at all lucky: in general, his party failed in the parliamentary elections.
All the while, he has been urging Le Pen to unite to crush Macron.
But she did not listen to him and, in general, did not lose much.
It is curious that in the month and a half before the parliamentary elections, the right somehow fell out of the media field.
All the forces of the media and Macron's team were thrown to the left flank.
At first, the Interior Ministry was reluctant to register this new alliance of Unbowed France, environmentalists and Nupes socialists.
The latter had to file a complaint, win the dispute, as a result of which all the lists were hastily redone.
But, while redoing the lists, it seems that they forgot to include those candidates in the overseas territories of France whom the alliance supports.
As a result, after the first round, another scandal erupted.
As soon as the preliminary figures collected at the exit from the polling stations appeared, it became clear that the left was in the lead in France.
Melenchon immediately announced the defeat of Macron, although he was ahead of him by quite a bit.
But at night the numbers were tweaked, and Macron took the lead.
The difference was only one percent.
Image victory of the presidential bloc.
Where did this percentage come from?
Many asked this question, the journalists rushed to count themselves and found out that some candidates were not registered by the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the alliance of the left, but in other, smaller parties, since they were not listed in the official Melanchon lists.
And who there supports whom in words, few people care about it.
That is, according to the letter of the law, everything seems to be correct.
But in fact, the left still beat Macron by a percentage.
Mélenchon immediately accused Interior Minister Gerald Darmanin of manipulating numbers, of cheating, and filed a complaint with the Council of State.
The Ministry of Internal Affairs had to explain to the press that everything was done according to the rules.
Macron's people attacked the left with a vengeance, immediately began to apply the same practice as in relation to Marine Le Pen.
To denigrate, demonize, throw everything in a heap, mix with something and accuse of all mortal sins.
What does not sound now in the address of Melenchon!
That his proposals will lead to hyperinflation, although, on the contrary, he seems to be proposing to freeze prices for essential products - by analogy with what the authorities are doing now with tariffs for electricity.
They say that he is an anti-Semite, that he is against the republic, that he hates the police and calls them murderers (although there was such a sin for him when the police tried to stop the car for checking documents in Paris during the day, and as a result shot the driver and the girl in the passenger seat After the investigation, the police officers were eventually released).
In general, the tactics of the Macron headquarters remain the same, as in the presidential election campaign.
To say that everyone around is bad, and he is the only stable alternative for the French in the current crisis.
Macron does not go to markets and bazaars, does not meet people.
He puts on the costume of a powerful foreign policy player and spends two of the last five days before the decisive second round abroad.
Travels to Romania and Moldova.
Talking about Ukraine.
Before the presidential elections, this tactic worked, his popularity grew and did not allow his opponents to openly criticize him.
So why not use the same thing now, decided the current head of state elected on such a wave.
They don’t change horses at the crossing, Macron puts pressure on this.
His visit is a clear demonstration of everything anti-Melanchon.
He advocates leaving the NATO Joint Command.
Macron travels to the eastern flank of the alliance (to Romania), where he visits French troops on the front lines.
From there, perhaps, it will explode to Kyiv.
The day before, he announces the entry of France into the period of the war economy, instructs the Minister of Defense and the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces to reassess the law on military planning, taking into account the geopolitical context, that is, he requires them to revise the weapons modernization program for the next few years.
In the same place, at the international arms exhibition, Macron declares the need to strengthen European technological security and defense.
That is, he appears to the voter as a serious, high-caliber statesman who manages big things and thinks on a very large scale.
Macron is Europe, Macron is NATO, Macron in his own understanding is the protection of the country and some stability.
Melenchon, according to the idea of the macron headquarters, should look small with his raids on the police, magic money, tax delirium and holograms.
But, surprisingly, it is precisely these topics that interest young people to a greater extent.
It is the social aspect of their lives that ordinary French people are now paying attention to: rising prices, expensive communal apartments, “golden” gasoline.
Macron puts pressure on fear - they say, if everything is changed now, then everything will collapse and it will be even worse, we will be conquered, so we must maintain the status of a leading European power.
Mélenchon says: stop fueling the conflict at the door of Europe with European weapons, this only delays the matter and draws France into an unnecessary war for her.
The fact that Macron’s popularity has been steadily declining since the presidential election, while Mélenchon’s popularity has been growing, in part indicates in which direction society is now drifting.
In general, I got the impression that the French are ready to throw themselves into the arms of the right, and then into the arms of the left, just to keep Macron out.
But that one has too much inertia, the support of the elites, the media, big business and globalists.
It will be extremely difficult to bypass him in parliament and get a majority on the left.
The most likely outcome is to oust Macron, create a powerful opposition bloc in parliament that will bite a little and slightly interfere with his implementation of the planned reforms.
But again, everything will depend on the turnout and the degree of mobilization of the French electorate.
The point of view of the author may not coincide with the position of the editors.