Debate of the day

Two months after the start of the war in Ukraine, is the conflict likely to spread?

Audio 29:30

A girl sits on a Soviet tank monument in Tiraspol, capital of the breakaway Moldovan region of Transnistria, on October 31, 2021 (Illustrative image).

AP - Dmitry Lovetsky

By: Anne Corpet Follow

1 min

A series of attacks took place last week in the separatist region of Transnistria, a small strip of officially Moldovan, but predominantly Russian-speaking land.

The origin of the shots and explosions has still not been formally identified and rumors are rife: is this a maneuver by the Ukrainians?

Russians?

After the Donbass, does the Kremlin want to take over this region?

Use it as a military rear base?

Moscow denies it, but the fears are real in this small republic neighboring Ukraine.

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Russia is also closely monitoring the cautious attitude of the former Soviet republics of Central Asia towards the conflict in Ukraine, and is also issuing warnings to Sweden and Finland, tempted to join the Atlantic Alliance...

After suffering numerous setbacks in what it hoped would be an easy war in Ukraine, can Russia choose military escalation and headlong rush?

To discuss

:

  • Florent Parmentier

    , associate researcher at the HEC Geopolitics Center, general secretary of CEVIPOF/Sciences Po, co-founder of the Eurasia prospective website.

    Author of 

    Moldavia at the Crossroads of the Worlds,

     Ed. Non-Lieu.

  • Ulrich Bounat,

    geopolitical analyst, specialist in Central and Eastern Europe.

    Author of

    Hybrid War in Ukraine, What Prospects?

     (Ed. of the Swan 2016).

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  • Ukraine

  • Russia

  • Moldova

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