Corona deaths in the world are 3 times the announced numbers.. And in Somalia, they are 67 times more!

A shocking recent study said that the "real" number of deaths due to the Corona pandemic during the years 2020 and 2021 is, in total, 3 times the number announced worldwide.

Despite the huge number of casualties announced by the World Health Organization and other international institutions, a study was published in the scientific journal "The Lancet" to develop an "estimated" map showing the global distribution of excess death rates.


According to an analysis published early Friday morning, more than 3 times the number of people reported in official records died as a result of infection with the emerging coronavirus.

While the official global death toll from infection was 5.9 million between January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021, the new study estimates that 18.2 million excess deaths occurred during the same period, suggesting that the full impact of the pandemic may have been much greater than many believe.

Excess deaths is a key measure of the true number of deaths due to an epidemic, and expresses the difference between the number of deaths recorded from all causes and the number expected based on past trends.

While there have been several attempts to estimate excess deaths due to corona, most of them have been limited in geographical scope due to the lack of data, and the new study provides the first peer-reviewed estimates of excess deaths due to the epidemic globally in 191 countries between January 1, 2020 and December 31 2021.


At the level of the Arab countries, Somalia topped the number of erroneous estimates, as the study said that the number of deaths due to the Corona virus is about 67 times more than the announced number of 1,330 cases, bringing the death toll estimated at more than 89,000 deaths.

And Yemen ranked second in the Arab world, as it recorded 33 times more deaths than the announced number (from 1980 recorded deaths due to Corona to 65,600 additional deaths).

Sudan came in third place with more than 25 times the announced number (from 3380 registered deaths to 83,600 excess deaths), while Djibouti ranked fourth with 20 times more than the announced number (189 announced cases to 3,850 excess deaths).

Bolivia topped the world in misestimation rates, as more than 734 times of the announced number died, and Bulgaria ranked second with 647 times, while Estonia came in third place with 634 times of the announced number.

Weekly or monthly data on deaths from all causes in 2021, 2020 and up to the previous 11 years for 74 countries and 266 states and territories were obtained through searches of government websites, the Global Mortality Database, the Human Mortality Database and the European Statistical Office.

The data in the models was used to estimate excess deaths due to the emerging corona pandemic, including locations, which do not have weekly or monthly reports of mortality data.

The analysis indicates that the total global deaths due to the epidemic may have reached 18.2 million, more than three times the official figure announced, by December 31, 2021.

The excess mortality rate is estimated at 120 excess deaths per 100,000 population worldwide, and it is estimated that 21 countries have rates of more than 300 excess deaths per 100,000 population.

The highest estimated excess mortality rates were in the Andes Latin America (512 deaths per 100,000 population), Eastern Europe (345 deaths per 100,000), Central Europe (316 deaths per 100,000), and South Sub-Saharan Africa (309 deaths per 100,000 population). ), and Central Latin America (274 deaths per 100,000).

According to a report by Al Arabiya.net, it is estimated that many locations outside these regions have similarly high rates, including Lebanon, Armenia, Tunisia, Libya, many areas in Italy and several states in the southern United States.

In stark contrast, the number of deaths in some countries is estimated to be lower than expected based on mortality trends in previous years, including Iceland (48 fewer deaths per 100,000), Australia (38 fewer deaths per 100,000), and Singapore (16 Fewer deaths per 100,000)).

With 5.3 million excess deaths, South Asia had the largest number of estimated excess deaths from COVID-19, followed by North Africa, the Middle East (1.7 million) and Eastern Europe (1.4 million).

The largest number of estimated excess deaths occurred in India (4.1 million), the United States of America (1.1 million), Russia (1.1 million), Mexico (798,000), Brazil (792,000), Indonesia (736,000) and Pakistan (664,000).

These seven countries may be responsible for more than half of the global excess deaths from the pandemic over a 24-month period.

Among these countries, excess mortality rates were highest in Russia per 100,000 population (375 deaths per 100,000), Mexico (325 deaths per 100,000), Brazil (187 deaths per 100,000) and the United States of America. (179 deaths per 100,000).

Because of its large population, India alone has been responsible for an estimated 22% of all global deaths.

According to the study, significant differences between excess deaths and official records may be due to underdiagnosis due to lack of testing and problems with reporting mortality data.


The authors of the study say that distinguishing between deaths directly caused by the emerging corona and those that occurred as an indirect result of the epidemic is critical.

Evidence from preliminary studies indicates that a large proportion of excess deaths are a direct result of infection with the emerging corona virus.

However, deaths may also have occurred indirectly from causes such as suicide or drug abuse due to behavioral changes or lack of access to health care and other essential services during an epidemic, and the impact of these different factors may vary by country and region.

The researchers say that understanding the true number of deaths from the epidemic is vital to making effective public health decisions.

Studies from several countries, including Sweden and the Netherlands, indicate that corona infection was the direct cause of most excess deaths, but researchers do not currently have sufficient evidence for the rest of the countries.

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