Not a day goes by that I do not receive several emails from former US President Donald Trump, his children, or his senior advisers, and these emails are no different from those I received before the November 2020 elections in the midst of the presidential campaign.
The new messages aim to raise funds or display simple products as hats or flags with which more money can be raised.
None of these letters refer to Donald Trump as a former president, and letters from Trump are signed with the words 45th President of the United States.
The odds of Trump returning - and perhaps winning - to the White House depend on Trump's personal desire for the post again, and perhaps revenge for his defeat in the recent elections.
The content of the messages revolves around "Save America", "Dinner with the President" or "Meet the President in the first gathering in Arizona in the middle of this month", and all of these messages serve Trump's stated goal in his candidacy for the 2024 elections with the aim of returning to the White House.
Former President Trump does not deny his desire to return to the White House, and his intention to run in the elections in 2024. Trump stressed that the only reason that might prevent him from running in the presidential race is "a bad call from a doctor or something, that might prevent me from that."
American laws do not prevent a former president for one term from running for president again, and that happened with former President Grover Cleveland at the end of the 19th century. Cleveland won the elections in 1884 and ruled until the beginning of 1889, and he was the 22nd president of the United States, then was defeated in the elections that It took place at the end of 1888, and he left the White House, then returned and won the election of 1892 to become the 24th President of the United States.
More than 81 million people voted for Biden, compared to more than 74 million for Trump.
Biden won 306 Electoral College votes, compared to 232 for Trump, yet he did not and will not admit defeat.
Trump has never admitted defeat at anything in his life, whether you're talking about his bankruptcy in the 1990s or the many mistakes he made in business and investment.
He sincerely believes that he has always been victorious, and he has been following the same course all his life, and he will not care about any facts or reality that says otherwise.
The chances of Trump returning - and possibly winning - to the White House depend on 3 factors: the first of which is Trump's personal desire to return to the position, and perhaps revenge for his defeat in the recent elections.
The second driving factor for Trump's return is related to the absence of any serious competition or the presence of major challenges before him among the Republicans aspiring to run for the elections in 2024. There is no Republican leadership whose popularity is close to that of Trump, despite his role in storming the Capitol and banning him on social media. None of the Republicans with presidential ambitions yet have the courage to declare their desire to run, and are waiting for Trump's same position on running in the 2024 election. Indeed, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Florida Governor Ron de Santos, former US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, and Mike Pence, former Vice President Trump, and Senator Ted Cruz; About their intention to run if Trump does not run.
No other Republican can rival Trump in his overwhelming popularity among the Republican electorate. Despite Trump and his team’s attempts to use the judiciary to change the outcome of the 2020 elections, 62 cases he filed to question the credibility of the elections failed and that they were rigged; 70% of Republican voters believe the election was rigged to defeat Trump.
The third and final factor driving Trump's return is related to the widespread decline in President Biden's popularity, and the fact that the percentage of satisfaction with his policies has reached less than 40%, and this percentage is very bad for a president during his first year in the White House.
The Democratic Party does not have any high-caliber candidates, and with the high age of President Biden, who will exceed 80 years when the next elections come, and the unattractiveness of Vice President Kamala Harris and her remarkable disappearance; Democrats will see a bone-crushing battle over the party ticket for the upcoming election, indirectly benefiting Donald Trump.
Trump represents a new birth certificate for the Republican Party in a transitional phase, amid dramatic demographic changes in the United States.
Trump's defeat in the 2020 elections and then his exit from the White House did not lead to the disappearance of the intellectual current that Trump expressed and rode during his four years in office.
Trump - who is adept at this - is aware of the importance of provoking controversy and enthusiasm in light of rising right-wing populism around the world. Trump has also succeeded strongly in immunizing himself against any mistakes or failures;
He says what he says, and errs what he errs, and all of that without reckoning.
During the years, Trump wanted to rule as a king who owns and is not reviewed by anyone, and not as a president and government employee with limited powers by a constitution and established traditions.
At the beginning of the founding of the United States there was a choice between a president and a king, and the Founding Fathers chose a president.
In the United States, the president occupies a high government position obtained by free election for a period of 4 years, renewable once.
The job gives the president specific tasks for an estimated salary of $400,000 annually.
The president knows that the powers of his office are limited by a constitution that is sanctified by the Americans, just as the people of monotheistic religions revere their holy books.
However, former President Trump is a different president;
He has not read the constitution and does not seem to understand the nature of its articles.
Trump did not care about the repercussions of his supporters storming the Capitol, nor about the rupture he caused in his country's established democracy.
Trump is supported by a majority of Republicans, and at least 70% of them want to see Trump as a candidate for 2024.
Within weeks, an application will be activated within a private social network launched by Trump to overcome the continued ban of his accounts on Twitter, Facebook and YouTube since January 2020 due to inciting his supporters to storm the Capitol. for the 2024 elections.