China News Service, Beijing, November 1 (Reporter Pang Wuji) The second-hand housing market in hot cities has cooled for several consecutive months.

In October, the transaction scale of the second-hand housing market in hot cities dropped significantly.

  According to a report released by the E-House Real Estate Research Institute on the 1st, in October, the transaction volume of second-hand housing in 13 hot cities monitored by the agency was approximately 36,000, a decrease of 14,000 from the previous month, a decrease of 26.9% from the previous month, and a significant drop of 42.8 from the same period last year. %; From January to October, the year-on-year growth rate of second-hand residential transactions in 13 cities turned negative for the first time during the year, down 2.1%.

  Since the second half of this year, the transaction volume of the second-hand housing market has declined rapidly for many consecutive months.

Most of the hotspot cities have tightened control, and introduced policies such as second-hand housing guidance prices, upgrading purchase restrictions, and rectifying market chaos.

Pan Hongyu, a researcher at E-House Real Estate Research Institute, pointed out that this series of measures has a huge impact on the property market.

In addition, since the beginning of the year, the credit environment has continued to tighten.

Since the third quarter of this year, difficulties in mortgage loans have appeared in many places, which has also greatly restricted the property market transactions in hot cities.

  The report pointed out that, judging from the absolute value of the total transaction volume of the current second-hand housing market in 13 cities, it has basically fallen to the level of October 2014, marking the end of the major rise in the second-hand housing market since 2015.

  Taking into account multiple indicators such as month-on-month growth rate and cumulative year-on-year growth rate at the beginning of the year, E-House Real Estate Research Institute has proposed an indicator reflecting the activity of second-hand housing transaction volume-second-hand housing transaction volume capability.

The report pointed out that, in terms of different cities, in October, only Xiamen City 1 of the 13 cities had a positive transaction volume of second-hand housing.

Shenzhen's ability to measure is only -47.3%, and it has been at the bottom of the hotspot cities for the sixth consecutive month.

The reason is that Shenzhen is the first city in the country to issue guidelines for second-hand housing prices, and market expectations are the first to shift, and Shenzhen’s second-hand housing-related policies are more vigorous.

  In addition, the report shows that since Hangzhou's second-hand residential transaction volume hit an annual high of 11,534 units in March this year, there has been a rare “7 consecutive decline”. Only 2,554 units were sold in October.

In less than a year, Hangzhou's second-hand housing transaction volume has shrunk by nearly 80% from a high level to near the lowest value in the past decade.

Under the influence of the "Lian Ba ​​Tiao" of the New Deal in Dalian, the market quickly fell into a freeze. In October, the transaction volume of second-hand housing appeared "halved". It is expected that the local second-hand housing transaction volume will consolidate at a low level for a period of time.

  The prices of second-hand housing in various places have also cooled down significantly.

According to data from the China Index Research Institute, in October, the average price of second-hand houses in Baicheng was 16,026 yuan per square meter, a decrease of 0.04% from a month-on-month rise.

  Pan Hongyu believes that since the end of September, the central bank and other supervisory authorities have continuously spoken out to send positive signals to the market regarding the real estate financial policy.

However, under the influence of the real estate tax pilot policy, the market is expected to weaken, and it is expected that the volume and price of second-hand housing will further weaken by the beginning of next year.

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