With nearly 5,000 cases of contamination per day, France is not in a serious but moderate epidemic situation.

But this recovery, Arnaud Fontanet, professor at the Pasteur Institute and member of the Scientific Council, had foreseen it.

Unlike last fall, however, vaccines, anti-Covid-19 shields should, according to the epidemiologist, allow us to have a better winter than in 2020-2021, he considers in Le Journal du Dimanche .

A clearer trend in France within 2 or 3 weeks

“On the other hand, Russia and Eastern Europe [like Bulgaria] are facing a violent wave and the United Kingdom, stuck since July on a high plateau, is experiencing a strong surge. Only Italy, Spain and Portugal seem spared for the moment ”, specifies Arnaud Fontanet in the

Journal du Dimanche

. In France, "the trend will be clearer in two or three weeks because the change in our testing practices blurs the picture," also explains Arnaud Fontanet.

In the coming months, the question that will arise, according to the epidemiologist, will be that of the ability of the vaccine shield to slow down the rebound on severe forms of the disease.

As such, the example of the United Kingdom, where vaccination started two months before France, is striking: "almost all control measures have been removed there, this week we reach 50,000 contaminations and 10,000 daily hospitalizations".

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