Former US President Donald Trump does not deny his desire to return to the White House, and his intention to run for the elections in 2024. Trump stressed that the only reason that might prevent him from running for the presidency is "a bad call from a doctor or something like that, it might stop me from that."

American laws do not prevent a former president for one term from running for president again, and that happened with former President Grover Cleveland at the end of the nineteenth century.

Cleveland won the elections in 1884 and ruled until the beginning of 1889, and he was the 22nd president of the United States, then he was defeated in the elections that took place at the end of 1888, and he left the White House, then returned and won the 1892 elections to become the 24th president of the United States.

The implication of Trump's message to the Republicans is that if they do not declare and repeat that he won the last election, he will lose the Republican Party in the upcoming congressional elections.

Trump's return to the White House depends on 3 factors that all suggest his return and perhaps his victory, while there remains an ambiguous factor whose dimensions have not yet been clarified and related to the cases brought against Trump, and the results of the expected ruling on his right to enter the upcoming elections.

As for the first factors that motivate Trump's return, it is related to his personal desire for a new position, and perhaps revenge for his defeat in the last elections.

Trump's visit a few days ago to Iowa raised more speculations about his readiness to fight the upcoming presidential election battle in order to return to the White House in 2024. Iowa has a special place, as it is the seat of the bipartisan primaries in the presidential race, and its victory gives the candidate a strong push to obtain a ticket party for the presidential nomination.

Trump spoke in front of an enthusiastic crowd of his supporters for nearly two hours, and attacked all the positions of President Joe Biden, accusing him of leading an American into the abyss, and reiterated his denial of his defeat in the recent elections.

Trump implicitly threatened Republicans, and said that if the problem of fraud in the 2020 presidential election was not resolved (and he claims to document it), Republicans would not vote in next year's congressional elections.

The implication of Trump's message to the Republicans is that if they do not announce and repeat that he won the last election, he will lose the Republican Party in the upcoming congressional elections.

Trump had asked Republican voters not to vote in the re-run of the two Senate seats in Georgia, after Biden was declared the winner of the election.

Trump told Republican voters, "Don't vote in a rigged election, and that assigned the Republicans a majority in the Senate, as the Democrats won the two state seats in a historical precedent, which enabled them to obtain a majority in the Senate."

The 2022 elections present an opportunity for the Republican Party to regain control of Congress, or at least one of its chambers, to derail the divisive progressive agenda, especially in the economic and social sphere.

The second driving factor for Trump's return is related to the absence of any serious competition or the presence of major challenges before him among the Republicans aspiring to run for the elections in 2024. There is no Republican leadership whose popularity is close to that of Trump, despite his role in storming the Capitol and banning him on social media.

None of the Republicans with presidential ambitions have the courage to declare their desire to run, and are waiting for Trump's position on running in the 2024 elections.

Indeed, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Florida Governor Ron de Santos, former US ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, and Mike Pence, former Vice President Trump, have expressed their intention to run if Trump does not run for her.

No other Republican can rival Trump in his overwhelming popularity among the Republican electorate.

Despite attempts by Trump and his team to use the judiciary to change the outcome of the 2020 election, and 62 failed and fraudulent cases that questioned the election's credibility, 70 percent of Republican voters believe the election was rigged to defeat Trump.

From here, Trump can only insist on denying his defeat in the past elections, and this is the most important thing Trump has in front of any desire for other candidates to compete with him for the Republican Party ticket, as it feeds the saying that "Trump has not been defeated."

This does not mean the absence of opposition to Trump, as some traditional leaders in the Republican Party are active in campaigns to collect funds to stand in the face of Trump, on the one hand, and on the other hand, support members of Congress who are stalking Trump for their support of his attempt to impeach and isolate him for his responsibility for the operation of his supporters storming the Capitol on January 6 last January.

Among them is John Bolton, Trump's former national security adviser, who is leading a fundraising campaign to support Representative Liz Cheney in next year's House elections.

Trump confirms that he has no intention of separating from the Republicans or establishing a new political party, as some commentators have predicted. Trump describes the Republican Party as united.

Republican candidates in the upcoming congressional elections proudly point to the "America First" policies that the former president promoted on the political agenda, despite Trump's exit from the White House, and repeat that there are more than 74 million Republican voters who voted for Trump.

The third and final factors driving Trump's return are related to the widespread decline in President Biden's popularity, and the fact that the satisfaction rate with his policies has reached less than 50%.

This is a very bad percentage for a president during his first year in the White House.

Biden's positions and management of the crisis of the outbreak and spread of the Covid-19 epidemic, economic policies and the chaos of the withdrawal from Afghanistan, in addition to the policy of dealing with immigrants on the southern American border, contributed to the decline in his popularity.

The Democratic Party does not have any high-caliber candidates, and with the high age of President Biden, who will exceed eighty when the next elections arrive, and the unattractiveness of Vice President Kamala Harris and her remarkable disappearance, the Democrats will witness a bone-breaking battle over the party ticket for the upcoming elections, benefiting in a disproportionate manner. Direct Donald Trump.

In the end, Trump will be 78 years old by the time of the next elections, and his age and health may become important factors contributing to his decision, but we should not rule out his return to the White House again.