Are the polls the arbiter of French politics?

Audio 29:30

Verification of an identity card during the second round of the left-wing primary for the 2017 French presidential election, in Trappes on January 29, 2017. AFP - CHRISTOPHE ARCHAMBAULT

By: Romain Auzouy

1 min

They multiply and place Eric Zemmour ever higher: the polls are widely talked about, six months before the first round of the presidential election in France.

The latest, a Harris Interactive poll published this Wednesday, October 13, announces the polemicist - who has not declared himself a candidate - with a score of 17% to 18% qualifying him for the second round of the election against the outgoing Emmanuel Macron .

Advertising

History shows that polls are far from an exact science, yet they are being scrutinized more and more.

How to explain this phenomenon ?

How much credit can we give to surveys?

What do they say about current political life?

To discuss it

:

- Emmanuel Rivière

, international director for political studies at Kantar Public

- Stéphane Hoynck

, secretary general of the polling commission

- Benjamin Morel

, doctor of political science from the École normale supérieure Paris-Saclay, and lecturer in public law at the University of Paris II Panthéon-Assas

Newsletter

Receive all international news directly in your mailbox

I subscribe

Follow all the international news by downloading the RFI application

google-play-badge_FR

  • French politics

  • France

On the same subject

Six months before the presidential election, Emmanuel Macron unveils his vision of France in 2030

Decryption

Presidential 2022: are the French media making the candidate Éric Zemmour?

Political sunday

Thierry Vedel, researcher at CNRS and Sciences Po Paris