The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "the degree of medical tightness," "the number of people receiving medical treatment," and "the positive rate of PCR tests" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. "The number of newly infected people" and "The ratio of people whose infection route is unknown" are shown.

Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."



According to the summary of the Cabinet Office, as of the 21st of this month, Hokkaido, Ibaraki, Tochigi, Gunma, Saitama, Chiba, Tokyo, Kanagawa, Gifu, Shizuoka, Aichi have been declared emergency. A total of 27 prefectures, including 19 prefectures, Mie prefecture, Shiga prefecture, Kyoto prefecture, Osaka prefecture, Hyogo prefecture, Hiroshima prefecture, Fukuoka prefecture, and Okinawa prefecture, and 8 prefectures to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" are applied. In prefectures, there are items that correspond to the most serious "Stage 4" in many areas where emergency declarations have been issued.



Some local governments publish different values ​​for bed-related indicators based on the number of beds that can be immediately accepted.

1-1. Medical tight usage rate

First is the tightness of medical care.

As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.



The usage rate of the entire bed is


22% in Hokkaido,


28

% in

Ibaraki prefecture,


36

% in

Tochigi prefecture


, 24% in Gunma


prefecture, 46% in Saitama


prefecture, 39% in Chiba prefecture


, 33% in Tokyo,


44% in Kanagawa prefecture,


and 30% in Gifu prefecture.


18% in Shizuoka prefecture


45

% in

Aichi prefecture


36

% in

Mie prefecture


40

% in

Shiga prefecture 40% in


Kyoto prefecture


56% in Osaka prefecture


46% in Hyogo prefecture


18% in Hiroshima prefecture


38% in Fukuoka prefecture


45% in Okinawa prefecture


23% in Miyagi prefecture


19

% in

Fukushima prefecture


18

% in

Ishikawa prefecture


14

% in

Okayama prefecture


17% in Kagawa prefecture


21% in Kumamoto prefecture


18% in Miyazaki prefecture

21

% in


Kagoshima prefecture.

1-2. Medical pressure hospitalization rate

The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 and 25% or less for stage 4.



Hospitalization rate is


44%

in

Hokkaido,


29

% in

Ibaraki prefecture,


not applicable in Tochigi prefecture


, 35% in Gunma prefecture,


not applicable in Saitama


prefecture, 19% in Chiba prefecture


, 30% in Tokyo,


25% in Kanagawa prefecture,


and 40% in Gifu


prefecture. 20%


Aichi prefecture is not applicable


30% in Mie prefecture


42

% in

Shiga prefecture


12% in Kyoto prefecture


20% in Osaka prefecture


22% in Hyogo prefecture


Not applicable in Hiroshima prefecture Not applicable in


Fukuoka prefecture


16% in


Miyagi prefecture Is not applicable


67% in Fukushima prefecture


40

% in

Ishikawa prefecture *


Not applicable in Okayama prefecture Not applicable in


Kagawa prefecture


34% in Kumamoto prefecture Not


applicable in Miyazaki prefecture


58% in Kagoshima prefecture.



* "40%" in Gifu prefecture is the value rounded to "40.1%"


* "40%" in Ishikawa prefecture

is the value rounded to

"40.4%"


Please refer to the end of the sentence for

"Not

applicable"

1-3 Medical pressure severely ill

As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.



Bed usage rate for severely ill people is


13% in Hokkaido,


27

% in

Ibaraki


, 30

% in

Tochigi


, 22% in Gunma


, 38% in Saitama


, 36% in Chiba


, 58% in Tokyo,


42% in Kanagawa, 42% in


Gifu. 22%


Shizuoka prefecture 15%


Aichi prefecture 37%


Mie prefecture 16%


Shiga prefecture 12%


Kyoto prefecture 29%


Osaka prefecture 37%


Hyogo prefecture 42%


Hiroshima prefecture 16%


Fukuoka prefecture 14%


Okinawa prefecture 47%


Miyagi prefecture 24%


Fukushima prefecture 8%


Ishikawa prefecture 8%


Okayama prefecture 7%


Kagawa prefecture 17%


Kumamoto prefecture 13%


Miyazaki prefecture 18%


Kagoshima prefecture 13%.

2. Number of convalescents

Next, the standard number of people receiving medical treatment is 20 or more in stage 3 and 30 or more in stage 4 per 100,000 population.



19 in Hokkaido


27 in Ibaraki


26 in Tochigi 26 in


Gunma 18 in


Saitama 56 in


Chiba 50 in


Tokyo 53 in


Kanagawa 43 in


Gifu 31 in


Shiga 19


Aichi 97 in


prefecture 35 in Mie prefecture


26 in Shiga prefecture


94 in Kyoto prefecture


105 in Osaka prefecture


51 in Hyogo prefecture


22 in Hiroshima prefecture


85 in Fukuoka prefecture


162 in Okinawa prefecture


18 in Miyazaki prefecture


Fukushima There were 10 people in the


prefecture, 17

people in

Ishikawa prefecture,


15

people in

Okayama prefecture,


10 people in


Kumamoto prefecture, 26 people in Kumamoto


prefecture, 17 people in Miyazaki prefecture, and 17 people in


Kagoshima prefecture.

3. Test positive rate

This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.

As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.



2.7% in Hokkaido


8.4

% in

Ibaraki prefecture


8.9

% in

Tochigi prefecture


4.6

% in

Gunma prefecture


6.2% in Saitama prefecture


10.0% in Chiba prefecture *


6.1% in Tokyo


prefecture 15.4% in Kanagawa prefecture


8.4% in Gifu prefecture


7.3% in Shiga prefecture


17.5% in Aichi prefecture


11.0

% in

Mie prefecture


3.8

% in

Shiga prefecture


9.0

% in

Kyoto prefecture 4.5% in


Osaka prefecture


10.6% in


Hiroshima prefecture 2.2% in


Fukuoka prefecture 5.0% in


Okinawa prefecture 6.6% in


Miyazaki prefecture 7.5%


It is 1.5% in Fukushima prefecture,


2.9

% in

Ishikawa prefecture,


4.1

% in

Okayama prefecture,


1.9% in Kagawa


prefecture, 3.9% in Kumamoto


prefecture, 2.6% in Miyazaki prefecture,


and 4.1% in Kagoshima prefecture.



* "10.0%" in Chiba prefecture is "9.99%"

4. Number of newly infected people

As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.



10 people in Hokkaido


23

people in

Ibaraki prefecture


17

people in

Tochigi prefecture


11

people in

Gunma prefecture


27 people in Saitama prefecture


25 people in Chiba prefecture


33 people in Tokyo


31 people in Kanagawa prefecture


20 people in Gifu prefecture


17 people in Shiga prefecture 17 people


Aichi 38 in


prefecture 13 in Mie prefecture


15 in Shiga prefecture


27 in Kyoto prefecture


50 in Osaka prefecture


30 in Hyogo prefecture


16 in Hiroshima prefecture


21 in Fukuoka prefecture


75 in Okinawa prefecture


10 in Miyazaki prefecture


Fukushima 6 people in


Ishikawa prefecture 10 people in


Okayama prefecture 10 people in


Kagawa prefecture 7 people in


Kumamoto prefecture 14 people in


Miyazaki prefecture 9 people in


Kagoshima prefecture 8 people.

5. Percentage of people with unknown infection route

最後に感染経路が不明な人の割合です。目安の値はステージ3、ステージ4ともに50%です。



北海道で39%


茨城県で32%


栃木県で37%


群馬県で42%


埼玉県で45%


千葉県で76%


東京都で56%


神奈川県で53%


岐阜県で35%


静岡県で29%


愛知県で43%


三重県で33%


滋賀県で27%


京都府で49%


大阪府で58%


兵庫県で48%


広島県で43%


福岡県で47%


沖縄県で50%※


宮城県で41%


福島県で28%


石川県で36%


岡山県で35%


香川県で43%


熊本県で27%


宮崎県で29%


鹿児島県で33%となっています。



※沖縄県の「50%」は、「49.9%」を四捨五入した値です



指標として新たに採用された「入院率」は、すべての療養者に占める入院できている人の割合です。



新型コロナウイルスの患者が増加すると本来は入院する必要があるのに入院できずに自宅や施設で療養する人が増えることから、「入院率」は数値が低いほど、受け入れることができない患者が増えている、つまり医療がひっ迫している可能性があることになります。



However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.



▽ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.


▽ When the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.



No stage judgment is made for these municipalities.

Keywords: