On the 8th, a government subcommittee gave a new idea on the indicators for deciding to lift the state of emergency.
I have summarized what is different from the past.
Judgment of cancellation of declaration
In the "stage" that indicates the status of infection and medical care, if it corresponds to the most serious "stage 4", it is considered to correspond to a state of emergency. It has been said that it is required to have the prospect of being lowered to "Stage 2" after the release.
For example,
▽ "bed utilization" and "utilization of severe Disease" is has become less than 50%, that you have with a prospect down to less than 20% after release of the declaration,
▽ "recuperation The number" population 10 It is less than 30 per 10,000 people, and it is expected to drop to less than 20 after the cancellation, and
▽ "Number of newly infected people" has been less than 25 per 100,000 population in the last week. , It is expected that the number will drop to less than 15 after the release.
The cancellation of the declaration is to be judged comprehensively based on these indicators while listening to the opinions of each local government.
The new indicator is
In the fifth wave of infection, while vaccination progressed, highly infectious Delta strains became mainstream, the number of mild and moderately ill patients increased from the severely ill, medical strains became tight, and the number of home care patients also increased. bottom.
The subcommittee says that the new indicator has responded to this situation.
When deciding to cancel the state of emergency, it is more important that medical care is not tight, such as the number of patients with moderate illness and the number of home care recipients, and the number of cases where emergency transportation is difficult. I am.
Specifically, regarding the infection status,
it is assumed that the "number of newly infected persons" has been on a stable downward trend for about two weeks.
On top of that, regarding the medical situation, in addition to the fact that the
"bed usage rate" and "severe bed usage rate" are less than 50% each, the percentage of
all medical care recipients who can be hospitalized, the "hospitalization rate" I mentioned that there is a tendency for improvement.
In addition,
▽ "the number of severely ill patients" and "the number of moderately ill patients" continue to decrease, and
▽ "the total number of people who are coordinating home care and medical treatment" is the population especially in metropolitan areas. It also lists indicators based on the experience of this infection spread, such as whether it is steadily declining toward the level of about 60 per 100,000 or kept at an appropriate scale.
Furthermore, in light of the impact on medical care other than corona support,
▽ "cases where emergency transportation is difficult" is on the decline in metropolitan areas.
On that basis, when deciding to cancel the declaration, it is
necessary to consider the intentions of the local government
along with these indicators
and to make
a careful judgment in preparation for the re-spread of infection after the cancellation of the declaration.
It is said that cancellation will be judged comprehensively even with new indicators.
Chairman Omi "Agrees that medical pressure should be emphasized"
Shigeru Omi, chairman of the government subcommittee, told reporters after the meeting on the 8th, "Proposed how to lift the state of emergency, and basically everyone agreed. It goes without saying that the number of infected people should be taken into consideration when releasing the drug, but it was agreed that the tightness of medical care should be given more importance. Also, even if the drug is released, it may rebound, so be careful when releasing it. It is very important to make a judgment with a margin. "
"I want to be able to evaluate the actual situation more accurately" by adding a new index.
Also, at a press conference after the meeting, he said that he showed a new index, "The current situation of vaccination is not abandoning all the ideas of the previous stage in the transitional period, but that alone will deal with it. I can't. I wanted to be able to evaluate the actual situation more accurately by adding to the existing way of thinking. "
On top of that, "As vaccination progresses and the number of people who become severely ill has decreased, medical care will be strained when the number of newly infected people is about double that of the third and fourth waves of infection spread. Currently, the index of the number of infected people is 25 per 100,000 people infected in stage 4 per week, but it can be higher than that at this time. That's the consensus of experts. "
Need to update the index in the future
On the other hand, regarding indicators such as "usage rate of severe beds", "all severely ill patients may not be hospitalized in the severely ill beds, or conversely, mildly ill patients may be in the severely ill beds, so the actual situation is not always accurately represented. There are some aspects that are not available. It is also necessary to be able to grasp indicators that more reflect the actual situation, such as the usage rate of ventilators. " Showed the idea that there is.
Minister of Economic Revitalization Nishimura "I want to take it seriously and decide how to handle the declaration."
After the subcommittee, the minister in charge of economic revitalization told reporters, "It does not change the idea of the'stage'that indicates the status of infection and medical care, but the number of new positives is important, but more emphasis is placed on the medical care provision system. The recommendations were put together based on the expert's idea that the decision should be made. We take it seriously, analyze the situation of the medical care provision system of each prefecture well, and make a decision on the handling of the state of emergency while sharing it. I want to do it. "
On top of that, "It is important to cooperate with prefectures to develop temporary medical facilities and oxygen stations, thoroughly implement infection control measures, and ensure that the number of infected people is declining. At the same time, steadily vaccination. We are determined to protect the lives and health of the people and overcome the crisis by advancing to. "