The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "medical pressure", "number of medical treatments", and "PCR test" as indicators to determine which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. "Positive rate", "Number of newly infected people", and "Percentage of people whose infection route is unknown" are shown.
Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, Tokyo and Okinawa prefectures where "emergency declaration" was issued as of 28th, 4 prefectures where "priority measures such as spread prevention" are applied, and "prevention of spread" until July 11th. Of the 11 prefectures to which the "Equal Priority Measures" were applied, there are several items that correspond to the most serious "Stage 4" in 1 prefecture, 1 prefecture, and 4 prefectures.
(* Tokyo, Okinawa, Saitama, Chiba, Kanagawa, Osaka, 1 prefecture, 4 prefectures).
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical pressure / bed usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a
guide, the
bed usage rate is
20% or more for
"Stage 3" and 50% or
more for
"Stage 4".
The usage rate of the entire sickbed is
▽ 47% in Tokyo
,
▽
57% in Okinawa
,
▽
53% in Saitama
,
▽
48% in Chiba
,
▽
43% in Kanagawa
,
▽
26% in Osaka,
▽ 19% in Hokkaido,
14% in Aichi
, 40% in Kyoto
, 28% in Hyogo
, 16% in Fukuoka.
1-2 Medical pressure / hospitalization rate
The
standard
hospitalization rate is
40% or less for
"Stage 3" and 25% or
less for
"Stage 4".
The hospitalization rate is
▽ Tokyo 18%,
▽ Okinawa 23%,
▽ Saitama prefecture not applicable,
▽ Chiba prefecture not applicable,
▽ Kanagawa prefecture not applicable,
▽ Osaka prefecture 18%,
▽ Hokkaido 31 %,
▽ Not applicable to Aichi prefecture
,
▽ Not applicable to
Kyoto prefecture,
▽ Not applicable to Hyogo prefecture,
▽ Not applicable to Fukuoka prefecture.
See the end of the sentence for "Not applicable".
1-3 Medical pressure / severely ill
As a
guide
, the bed usage rate for severely ill people
is 20% or more for
"Stage 3" and 50% or
more for
"Stage 4".
The bed usage rate for the severely ill is
▽ 64% in Tokyo
,
▽
71% in Okinawa
,
▽
30% in Saitama
,
▽
24% in Chiba
,
▽
30% in
Kanagawa,
▽ 13% in Osaka. ,
▽ 3% in Hokkaido
,
▽
5% in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 9% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 14% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 4% in Fukuoka prefecture.
2 Number of recuperators
Next, the
standard
number of people receiving medical treatment
is 20 or more for "Stage 3" and
30
or more for
"Stage 4"
per 100,000 population
.
▽ 117 people in Tokyo,
▽ 119 people in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 72 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 51 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 50 people in Kanagawa prefecture
,
▽
51 people in
Osaka prefecture,
▽ 24 people in Hokkaido,
▽ Aichi There were 15 people in the
prefecture, 21 people in Kyoto
prefecture, 19 people in Hyogo prefecture,
and 26 people in Fukuoka prefecture.
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a
guide
, "Stage 3" is 5% or more, and
"Stage 4" is 10% or more.
▽ 16.9% in Tokyo,
▽ 9.0% in Okinawa
,
▽
9.4% in Saitama,
▽ * 10.0% in Chiba,
▽ 16.0% in Kanagawa
,
▽
4.7% in Osaka,
▽ 5.8% in Hokkaido,
▽ It is 2.6% in Aichi prefecture,
7.5% in Kyoto
prefecture, 8.4% in Hyogo prefecture,
and 6.5% in Fukuoka prefecture.
* Chiba Prefecture is the value rounded to the nearest "9.9%".
4 Number of newly infected people
The
guideline for
newly infected people per 100,000 population in the last week
is 15 or more in
"Stage 3" and 25
or more in
"Stage 4".
▽ 98 people in Tokyo,
▽ 95 people in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 49 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 44 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 51 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 40 people in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 18 people in Hokkaido,
▽ Aichi There are 12 people in the
prefecture, 23 people in Kyoto
prefecture, 18 people in Hyogo prefecture,
and 27 people in Fukuoka prefecture.
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
The standard value is 50% for both "Stage 3" and "Stage 4".
▽ 64% in Tokyo,
▽ 53% in Okinawa
,
▽
52% in Saitama
,
▽
64% in Chiba
,
▽
65% in Kanagawa
,
▽
66% in Osaka,
▽ * 50% in Hokkaido,
▽ 55% in Aichi prefecture,
▽ * 50% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 60% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 58% in Fukuoka prefecture.
* Hokkaido is
rounded to
"49.5%",
* Kyoto is rounded to "49.6%".
About "not applicable" of hospitalization rate
The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. In other words, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
▽ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
▽ When the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage judgment is made for these municipalities.