At a monitoring conference in Tokyo, experts pointed out that "infection is spreading rapidly in Tokyo."
If the current rate of increase continues, the average for 7 days will exceed 2400 in 4 weeks, and if the spread of infection accelerates due to the influence of mutant virus etc., there is a strong concern that it will exceed the third wave of the new year at an early stage. It was.
During the meeting, experts maintained the infection status and medical care provision system in Tokyo at the highest alert level of the four levels.
The 7-day average of new positives
was about 817 as of 14th,
1.31 times as high as July 7th, a week ago, which was about 625.
The rate of increase in the number of new positives has continued to rise, with experts pointing out that "the infection is spreading rapidly."
In addition, if the current rate of increase continues,
▽ on July 28, two weeks later, the average for seven days will be about 1402, 1.72 times the current number, and
▽ four weeks later, on August 11,
the current number will increase
. It was analyzed that the number will increase by 2.94 times to about 2406.
Excluding cases where people living outside of Tokyo tested positive in Tokyo, the peak of the third wave at the beginning of the year was about 1816 on January 11, which is much higher than this.
In addition, experts expressed strong concern that if the rate of increase increases further, the spread of infection will accelerate and the third wave will be exceeded sooner due to the increase in the flow of people and the influence of the highly infectious mutant virus.
On the other hand, he pointed out that the number of inpatients as of 14th increased by 350 from July 7th, a week ago, to 2023, which jumped from 1200 in late June to 2000 in just three weeks. ..
The number of seriously ill patients was 54, a decrease of 8 from last week, but experts pointed out that "it has remained at a high level."
On top of that, critically ill patients could increase lagging behind the surge in new positives and inpatients, and if this situation persisted, they expressed a strong sense of crisis that the healthcare delivery system would face a tight crisis.