The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "the degree of medical tightness," "the number of medical treatments," and "positive PCR test" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. It shows five rates: "rate", "number of newly infected people", and "ratio of people whose infection route is unknown".

Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."



According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, as of 13th of this month, Tokyo and Okinawa prefectures where emergency declarations have been issued, 4 prefectures to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" are applied, and "prevention of spread" until 11th of this month. In a total of 11 prefectures to which the "equal priority measures" were applied, there are several items corresponding to the most serious "stage 4" in Tokyo and Okinawa prefectures.



Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values ​​based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.

1-1 Medical tight usage rate

First is the tightness of medical care.



As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.



The usage rate of the entire sickbed is


▽ 33% in Tokyo

,


35% in Okinawa

,


27% in Saitama

,

35% in


Chiba

,


30% in Kanagawa


,


17% in Osaka,

▽ It is 15% in Hokkaido,


13% in Aichi prefecture, 13% in


Kyoto prefecture, 13% in


Hyogo prefecture,


and 10% in Fukuoka prefecture.

1-2 Medical pressure hospitalization rate

The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 and 25% or less for stage 4.



The hospitalization rate is


▽ 31% in Tokyo

,


44% in Okinawa,


▽ not applicable in Saitama

,

▽ not applicable in


Chiba

,

▽ not applicable in


Kanagawa

,


29% in Osaka,


▽ 49 in Hokkaido. %,


▽ Not applicable to Aichi prefecture

,

▽ Not applicable to


Kyoto prefecture,


▽ Not applicable to Hyogo prefecture,


▽ Not applicable to Fukuoka prefecture.



See the end of the sentence for "Not applicable".

1-3 Medical pressure severely ill

As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.



The bed usage rate for the severely ill is


▽ 45% in Tokyo

,


54% in Okinawa

,


16% in Saitama

,

▽ 16% in


Chiba

,


19% in Kanagawa,


▽ 12% in Osaka. ,


▽ 7% in Hokkaido

,


11% in Aichi prefecture,


▽ 5% in Kyoto prefecture

,

11% in


Hyogo prefecture,


▽ 4% in Fukuoka prefecture.

2 Number of recuperators

Next, the standard number of people receiving medical treatment is 20 or more in stage 3 and 30 or more in stage 4 per 100,000 population.



46 in Tokyo, 40 in Okinawa, 22 in Saitama, 23 in Chiba, 26 in Kanagawa, 19 in Osaka, 12 in Hokkaido, 9 in Aichi, 9 in Kyoto. There were 8 people, 6 people in Hyogo prefecture, and 8 people in Fukuoka prefecture.

3 Test positive rate

This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.



As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.



▽ 6.8% in Tokyo,


▽ 3.2% in Okinawa

,


3.8% in Saitama

,


5.8% in Chiba

,


8.3% in Kanagawa

,


1.5% in Osaka,


▽ 2.5% in Hokkaido,


▽ Aichi It is 1.7% in the


prefecture, 2.9% in Kyoto


prefecture, 2.5% in Hyogo prefecture,


and 1.8% in Fukuoka prefecture.

4 Number of newly infected people

As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.



▽ 40 people in Tokyo,


▽ 23 people in Okinawa prefecture,


▽ 14 people in Saitama prefecture,


▽ 19 people in Chiba prefecture,


▽ 24 people in Kanagawa prefecture,


▽ 13 people in Osaka prefecture,


▽ 8 people in Hokkaido,


▽ Aichi There are 6 people in the prefecture, 6 people in


Kyoto prefecture, 6 people in


Hyogo prefecture, and 6 people in


Fukuoka prefecture.

5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route

Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.



The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4.



61% in Tokyo, 53% in Okinawa, 52% in Saitama, 59% in Chiba, 57% in Kanagawa, 70% in Osaka, 49% in Hokkaido, 43% in Aichi, 43% in Kyoto. It is 47%, 65% in Hyogo prefecture, and 47% in Fukuoka prefecture.



The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.



As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and are treated at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the "hospitalization rate", the more unacceptable patients. In other words, medical care may be tight.



However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.



▽ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.


▽ When the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.



No stage judgment is made for these municipalities.

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