The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "the degree of medical tightness," "the number of medical treatments," and "positive PCR test" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. It shows five rates: "rate", "number of newly infected people", and "ratio of people whose infection route is unknown".
Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, as of the 3rd of this month, the 10 prefectures that have declared a state of emergency and the prefectures to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" have been applied are the most in each of the 18 prefectures. There are many items that correspond to the serious "Stage 4".
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical tight usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.
The usage rate of the entire sickbed is
56%
in
Hokkaido,
41
% in
Gunma prefecture,
32% in Tokyo,
34% in Saitama
prefecture, 23% in Chiba
prefecture, 31% in Kanagawa
prefecture, 45% in Ishikawa prefecture, and
Aichi prefecture. 63% in
Mie prefecture,
52
% in
Gifu prefecture,
46
% in
Osaka
prefecture, 48% in Hyogo prefecture
, 45% in Kyoto
prefecture, 47% in Okayama
prefecture, 69% in Hiroshima prefecture, 68% in
Fukuoka prefecture. %,
53
% in
Kumamoto prefecture
, 100% in Okinawa prefecture.
1-2 Medical pressure hospitalization rate
The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 and 25% or less for stage 4.
The hospitalization rate is
15%
in
Hokkaido,
57
% in
Gunma prefecture,
41
% in
Tokyo,
not applicable to Saitama prefecture, not applicable to
Chiba prefecture, not applicable to
Kanagawa
prefecture, 48% to Ishikawa prefecture,
not applicable to Aichi prefecture. ,
46%
in
Mie prefecture,
60
% in
Gifu prefecture,
16
% in
Osaka
prefecture, 43% in Hyogo prefecture
, 25% in Kyoto
prefecture, 43% in Okayama
prefecture, 38% in Hiroshima prefecture,
not applicable
in
Fukuoka prefecture,
Kumamoto It is 55% in the
prefecture and 24% in Okinawa prefecture.
See the end of the sentence for "Not applicable".
1-3 Medical pressure severely ill
As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.
The bed usage rate for the severely ill is
28%
in
Hokkaido,
24
% in
Gunma prefecture
, 44% in Tokyo,
25% in Saitama
prefecture, 10% in Chiba
prefecture, 34% in Kanagawa
prefecture, 26% in Ishikawa prefecture,
65% in Aichi prefecture,
18
% in
Mie prefecture,
34
% in
Gifu prefecture,
37% in Osaka
prefecture, 59% in Hyogo prefecture
, 29% in Kyoto
prefecture, 27% in Okayama
prefecture, 37% in Hiroshima prefecture,
Fukuoka prefecture. It was 45% in
Kumamoto prefecture, 39
% in
Kumamoto prefecture,
and 100%
in
Okinawa prefecture.
2 Number of recuperators
Next, the standard number of people receiving medical treatment is 20 or more in stage 3 and 30 or more in stage 4 per 100,000 population.
125 in Hokkaido,
16
in
Gunma
, 34
in
Tokyo,
20
in
Saitama
, 14
in
Chiba
, 21
in
Kanagawa
, 30
in
Ishikawa
, 59
in
Aichi, 59 in
Mie. 17 people,
34
people in
Gifu prefecture,
86
people in
Osaka
prefecture, 24
people in
Hyogo prefecture
, 33 people in Kyoto
prefecture, 28 people in Okayama
prefecture, 46 people in Hiroshima
prefecture, 65 people in Fukuoka
prefecture, 28 people in Kumamoto prefecture. ,
There were 190 people
in
Okinawa prefecture.
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.
6.4% in Hokkaido,
3.4
% in
Gunma prefecture,
5.0
% in
Tokyo,
3.2
% in
Saitama
prefecture, 4.1% in Chiba
prefecture, 6.2% in Kanagawa
prefecture, 1.5% in Ishikawa
prefecture, 9.2% in Aichi prefecture, 9.2% in
Mie prefecture. 3.7%,
Gifu prefecture 5.5%,
Osaka prefecture 1.8%,
Hyogo prefecture 5.1%,
Kyoto prefecture 4.9%,
Okayama prefecture 4.8%,
Hiroshima prefecture 0.7%,
Fukuoka prefecture 4.0%,
Kumamoto prefecture 10.6% ,
It is 9.8%
in
Okinawa prefecture.
4 Number of newly infected people
As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.
44 in Hokkaido,
7
in
Gunma
, 24
in
Tokyo,
11
in
Saitama, 11 in
Chiba
, 16
in
Kanagawa
, 13
in
Ishikawa
, 27
in
Aichi, 27 in
Mie 10 people,
22
people in
Gifu prefecture,
16
people in
Osaka
prefecture, 11
people in
Hyogo prefecture
, 12 people in Kyoto
prefecture, 13 people in Okayama
prefecture, 20 people in Hiroshima
prefecture, 18 people in Fukuoka
prefecture, 10 people in Kumamoto prefecture. , There
are 126 people
in
Okinawa prefecture.
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4.
30% in Hokkaido,
26
% in
Gunma prefecture,
59
% in
Tokyo,
49
% in
Saitama
prefecture, 58% in Chiba
prefecture, 50% in Kanagawa
prefecture, 19% in Ishikawa
prefecture, 43% in Aichi prefecture, 43% in
Mie prefecture. 34%,
Gifu prefecture 29%,
Osaka prefecture 58%,
Hyogo prefecture * 50%,
Kyoto prefecture 50%,
Okayama prefecture 38%,
Hiroshima prefecture no report at the time of compilation by the Cabinet Secretariat,
Fukuoka prefecture It was 46%,
42
% in
Kumamoto prefecture,
and 56%
in
Okinawa prefecture.
* "50%" in Hyogo prefecture is the number rounded to "49.5%".
The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, it is necessary to be hospitalized, but the number of people who cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the number, the more patients cannot be accepted. It is increasing, that is, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
This is the case when the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage judgment is made for these municipalities.