The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "the degree of medical tightness," "the number of medical treatments," and "PCR testing" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. It shows five factors: positive rate, number of newly infected people, and percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, the six prefectures that have already declared a state of emergency, the newly targeted prefectures of Hokkaido, Okayama, and Hiroshima, and the prefectures to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" are applied. In 19 prefectures, as of 13th of this month, there are many items corresponding to the most serious "Stage 4" in each region.
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical tight usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 (▽ mark) and 50% or more for stage 4 (▼ mark).
▽ 49% in Hokkaido,
▽ 39% in Tokyo
,
▽
48% in Saitama
,
▽
33% in Chiba
,
▽
30% in Kanagawa,
▼ 70% in Aichi
,
▼
53% in Mie,
▼ Gifu 62% in prefecture,
▼ 85% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 66% in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 67% in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 82% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 74% in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 26% in Ehime prefecture,
▼ Gunma prefecture 65% in
Ishikawa prefecture, 81% in Ishikawa prefecture,
69% in Okayama
prefecture, 58% in Hiroshima
prefecture, 52% in Kumamoto prefecture.
1-2 Medical pressure hospitalization rate
The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 (marked with ▽) and 25% or less for stage 4 (marked with ▼).
▼ 20% in Hokkaido,
▽ 32% in Tokyo,
・ Not applicable in Saitama prefecture
,
・ Not applicable in
Chiba prefecture,
・ Not applicable in Kanagawa prefecture,
・
Not
applicable in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 39% in Mie prefecture,
▽ Gifu 46% in prefecture,
▼ 10% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 17% in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 22% in Kyoto prefecture,
・
Not
applicable in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 32% in Okinawa prefecture,
・
Not
applicable in Ehime prefecture,
▽ Gunma prefecture 36%,
・ Ishikawa prefecture 49%,
▼ Okayama prefecture 22%,
▼ Hiroshima prefecture 22%,
▽ Kumamoto prefecture 34%.
The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the "hospitalization rate", the more patients cannot be accepted. That is, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
・ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
・ Of the number of new positives, those who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage decisions are made for these municipalities.
1-3 Medical pressure severely ill
As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more for stage 3 (▽ mark) and 50% or more for stage 4 (▼ mark).
・ 18% in Hokkaido,
▽ 38% in Tokyo
,
▽
24% in Saitama,
・ 11% in Chiba,
▽ 26% in Kanagawa
,
▽
45% in Aichi
,
▽
21% in Mie,
・ Gifu 19% in prefecture,
▼ 81% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 73% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 41% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 49% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 68% in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 24% in Ehime prefecture,
▽ Gunma prefecture 22%,
▽ Ishikawa prefecture 46%,
▼ Okayama prefecture 51%,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture 21%,
▽ Kumamoto prefecture 41%.
2 Number of recuperators
As a guide, the number of recuperators is 20 or more for stage 3 (▽ mark) and 30 or more for stage 4 (▼ mark) per 100,000 population.
▼ 82 people in Hokkaido,
▼ 53 people in Tokyo
,
▼
39 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 23 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 24 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▼ 66 people in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 30 people in Mie prefecture,
▼ 50 people in Gifu prefecture,
▼ 237 people in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 83 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 56 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 98 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 87 people in Okinawa
prefecture, 17 people in Ehime prefecture,
▼ Gunma 39 people in the
prefecture
,
▼ 53 people in Ishikawa prefecture,
▼ 68 people in Okayama prefecture,
▼ 47 people in Hiroshima prefecture,
▼ 44 people in Kumamoto prefecture.
* "30 people" in Mie prefecture is the number rounded to "29.9 people".
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a guide, stage 3 (▽ mark) is 5% or more, and stage 4 (▼ mark) is 10% or more.
▼ 10.1% in Hokkaido,
▽ 6.8% in Tokyo
,
▽
5.0% in Saitama,
・ * 5.0% in Chiba,
▽ 6.2% in Kanagawa,
▼ 11.0% in Aichi
,
▽
5.6% in Mie,
▽ 8.0% in Gifu prefecture,
6.2% in Osaka
prefecture, 12.5% in Hyogo prefecture
, 8.9% in Kyoto
prefecture, 9.0% in Fukuoka
prefecture, 6.2% in Okinawa
prefecture, 1.9% in Ehime prefecture,
▽ Gunma 9.3% in
prefecture, 8.5% in Ishikawa prefecture,
▼ 10.1% in Okayama
prefecture, 2.1% in Hiroshima prefecture,
▼ 19.0% in Kumamoto prefecture.
* "5.0%" in Chiba prefecture is the number rounded to "4.99%".
4 Number of newly infected people
As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 (▽ mark) and 25 or more in stage 4 (▼ mark).
▼ 61 people in Hokkaido,
▼ 47 people in Tokyo,
▽ 24 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 17 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 22 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▼ 50 people in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 18 people in Mie prefecture,
▼ Gifu 44 people in the prefecture,
▼ 70 people in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 52 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 36 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 67 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 47 people in Okinawa
prefecture, 10 people in Ehime prefecture,
▼ Gunma prefecture 32 people,
▼ 36 people in Ishikawa prefecture,
▼ 58 people in Okayama prefecture,
▼ 44 people in Hiroshima prefecture,
▼ 41 people in Kumamoto prefecture.
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4 (marked with ▼).
▼ 60% in Hokkaido,
▼
60% in
Tokyo,
・ 46% in Saitama,
▼ 59% in Chiba
,
▼
57% in Kanagawa
,
▼
51% in Aichi
, 28% in Mie,
・ Gifu 43% in prefecture,
▼ 60% in Osaka prefecture,
・ 50% in Hyogo prefecture,
・ 49% in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 64% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 70% in Okinawa prefecture,
・ 26% in Ehime prefecture,
・ Gunma 42% in
prefecture, 36% in Ishikawa prefecture,
55% in Okayama prefecture,
no report in Hiroshima prefecture at the time of compilation by the Cabinet Secretariat
, 45% in Kumamoto prefecture.
* "50%" in Hyogo prefecture is the number rounded to "49.7%".