The real estate market regulation in many places frequently increases the growth rate of real estate sales in the first 4 months or narrows year-on-year
Our reporter Du Yumeng
On May 17, the National Bureau of Statistics will release the national real estate development investment and sales data for the first four months of this year.
Based on the relevant situation in the first quarter, industry insiders interviewed by a reporter from the Securities Daily said that due to the intensive introduction of new policies on the property market since April, it is expected that the year-on-year growth rate of real estate sales in the first four months of this year will be relative to the previous three months. Months will be narrowed.
According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to March, the national real estate development investment was 2,577.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%; the sales area of commercial housing was 36.07 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 63.8%.
Commercial housing sales were 3,837.8 billion yuan, an increase of 88.5% year-on-year, of which residential sales alone increased by 95.5% year-on-year; real estate development enterprises had invested 4746.5 billion yuan, an increase of 41.4%.
From the point of view of the regulation policy, the regulation policy of the property market in many places frequently increased in April.
For example, Ningbo issued a new real estate regulation policy to expand the purchase restriction area and strictly examine the source of down payment; another example, Changsha included fore-sale housing into the purchase restriction; Furthermore, the Nantong property market regulation new policy clearly stated that commercial housing land was supplied in a "dual-control" manner; Dongguan The city further strengthened the guidance of the sales price of new houses, and made it clear that the increase of unsold new houses should not exceed 3% in one year. In addition, Beijing, Nanjing, Xiamen, Jiaxing, Hefei, Xuzhou, and Guangzhou have also launched a series of measures to curb the "false fire" ".
In an interview with a reporter from the Securities Daily, Zhang Bo, director of the 58 Anju Guest House Property Research Institute Branch, analyzed that the strict regulation of the property market in April has been significantly strengthened, and the market has begun to diverge significantly.
From this perspective, it is expected that the year-on-year growth rate of the sales area and sales of commercial housing in the first four months will decline to a certain extent.
On the whole, under the background of "housing and housing not speculating" and the market environment of strict property market regulation, since the beginning of this year, after a substantial increase in sales in the first quarter, the housing market in April has cooled down. It is expected that the follow-up will also show a gradual downward trend.
In Yan Yuejin's view, compared with March, the real estate sales data in April was clearly weaker than expected, which will undoubtedly make the sales data in the first four months on the low side.
In terms of the area of commercial housing sales alone, on the basis of a 63.8% year-on-year growth from January to March, the year-on-year growth rate in the first four months is expected to narrow to around 60%.