China News Service, May 6, according to the official WeChat news of the Ministry of Emergency Management, recently, the Office of the National Disaster Reduction Commission, the Ministry of Emergency Management, together with the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Transport, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the China Meteorological Administration, and the National Forestry and Grass Administration Other departments held meetings and chambers of commerce to analyze and judge the national natural disaster risk situation in May.

The analysis pointed out that the risk of flood disasters in many areas in the south has increased, and some southern rivers such as the Pearl River Basin, the Yangtze River Basin, and the Zhejiang-Fujian area may have super-alarm floods.

  Based on comprehensive judgment, the national natural disaster risk situation in May has become increasingly complex, with obvious regional characteristics of floods and droughts in the south and forest fires in the north.

With the increase of heavy rainfall and strong convective weather, the southern part of the country has entered the flood season, and the first flood season in southern China has entered the peak period. The risk of floods, wind and hail and geological disasters in many areas in the south has increased.

The drought in Yunnan may develop further.

The forest fire risk levels in the northeast and southwest remain high.

  The high fire risk situation continues in forest areas in Northeast, Southwest and other places.

Forest fire risks are high in northeastern Inner Mongolia, northern Heilongjiang, southwestern Sichuan, and northwestern Yunnan.

In northern Beijing, northern and western Hebei, eastern Shanxi, eastern and southern Liaoning, eastern Jilin, eastern Tibet, northern and southwestern Shaanxi, eastern Gansu, and northern Xinjiang, the forest fire risk level is relatively high.

  The risk of flood disasters has increased in many places in the south.

It is predicted that there will be more precipitation in the northern and southern parts of Northeast China, eastern Inner Mongolia, most of North China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai, northeastern Jiangnan, southeast of Southwest China, western South China, western Tibet and other places, and the eastern part of Huanghuai is more than 20% to 50%. , Some southern rivers such as the Pearl River Basin, the Yangtze River Basin and the Zhejiang-Fujian area may have super-alarm floods.

In addition, attention should be paid to snowmelt floods and glacier disasters in northern Xinjiang and southern Tibet.

  The multi-faceted and wide-ranging features of hail disaster points are outstanding.

The scope of hail disasters may affect more than 20 provinces in the north and south, mainly in areas with more precipitation.

Hebei, Henan, Shandong, Anhui, Jiangsu and other places need to pay attention to the adverse effects of strong convective weather on transportation and tourism, and focus on preventing sporadic casualties.

Jiangsu, Anhui, Liaoning and other localities do not rule out the possibility of tornado disasters.

  Geological disasters are more likely to occur in mountainous areas in the south and northwest.

In May, it entered a period of high occurrence of geological disasters, and the risk of geological disasters increased in the hilly areas in the south and the loess areas in the northwest.

Provinces such as Gansu, Shaanxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Hunan, Hubei, Guangdong, Guangxi, Anhui, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, and Shandong are more likely to have geological disasters.

  The drought in Yunnan may develop further. In April, most areas in the south entered the flood season one after another. Affected by the rainfall and various localities have made every effort to fight against drought and rescue disasters, the drought conditions in other areas have basically eased except for the ongoing drought in parts of Yunnan and Guangdong. It is expected that in May, the temperature in northwestern Yunnan and other places will be 1-2°C higher than the same period in normal years, and the precipitation will be 20-50% less. The drought in Yunnan may develop further, and continuous attention needs to be paid to the impact on urban and rural water supply.