The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "medical tightness," "number of medical treatments," and "positive PCR test" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. It shows five rates: "rate", "number of newly infected people", and "ratio of people whose infection route is unknown".
Of these, there are three items for "medical tightness": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, the "priority measures such as prevention of spread" are applied to the four prefectures of Tokyo, Osaka, Hyogo, and Kyoto, which were targeted from the 24th in the third emergency declaration7. According to the indicators of the prefectures, and the 13 prefectures of Gifu and Fukuoka where the emergency declaration was issued as of the 22nd, the items that will be the most serious "stage 4" in several local governments in Tokyo and western Japan. Is increasing.
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical tight usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
The usage rate of the entire bed is
▽ 28% in Tokyo,
▽ 33% in Saitama
,
▽
24% in Chiba
,
▽
25% in Kanagawa,
▽ 33 in Aichi. %,
▽ 29% in Gifu prefecture,
▼ 85% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 84% in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 58% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 35% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 56% in Miyagi prefecture,
▼ 89% in Okinawa prefecture ,
▽ It is 35% in Ehime prefecture.
1-2 Medical tight hospitalization rate
The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 and 25% or less for stage 4.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
Hospitalization rate is
▽ 30% in Tokyo,
・ Not applicable in Saitama prefecture (see end of sentence),
▽ 27% in Chiba prefecture,
・ Not applicable in Kanagawa prefecture,
・ Aichi prefecture Not applicable,
・ 64% in Gifu prefecture,
▼ 11% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 18% in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 24% in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 21% in Fukuoka prefecture,
・
Not
applicable in Miyagi prefecture,
▽ 35 in Okinawa prefecture %,
・ Ehime prefecture is not applicable.
1-3 Medical tightness Severely ill
As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
The bed usage rate for the severely ill is
▽ 33% in Tokyo,
・ 17% in Saitama
,
・
6% in Chiba
,
・
15% in Kanagawa,
・ Aichi 12% in
prefecture, 7% in Gifu prefecture,
▼ 86% in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 73% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 28% in Kyoto prefecture,
・ 13% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 29% in Miyagi prefecture,
▼ Okinawa prefecture 65%,
▽ 21% in Ehime prefecture.
2 Number of recuperators
Next, the standard number of people receiving medical treatment is 20 or more in stage 3 and 30 or more in stage 4 per 100,000 population.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
▼ 40 in Tokyo,
▽ 27 in Saitama,
・ 19 in Chiba
,
・
17 in Kanagawa,
▼ 32 in Aichi,
・ In Gifu 16 people,
▼ 174 people in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 73 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 42 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 25 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
▼ 40 people in Miyagi prefecture,
▼ 90 people in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 28
people in
Ehime prefecture It is a person.
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
▽ 5.8% in Tokyo,
4.1% in Saitama
▽
5.2% in Chiba
▽
5.9% in Kanagawa
▽ 5.1% in Aichi
, 4.0% in Gifu
▽ Osaka 8.0%
▼ 15.6% in Hyogo prefecture
▽ 7.1% in Kyoto
prefecture, 4.7% in Fukuoka prefecture
▽
6.4% in Miyagi prefecture ▽
6.6% in Okinawa
prefecture, 3.6% in Ehime prefecture.
4 Number of newly infected people
As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.
(▼… Stage 4, ▽… Stage 3)
▼ 34 in Tokyo,
▽ 18 in Saitama
,
▽
15 in Chiba *,
▽ 17 in Kanagawa
,
▽
21 in Aichi,
・ Gifu 13 people,
▼ 89 people in Osaka prefecture,
▼ 60 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▼ 32 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 23 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 17 people in Miyagi prefecture,
▼ 50 people in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ in Ehime prefecture There are 19 people.
* In Chiba prefecture, the number is rounded to "15", which is lower than the standard value for stage 3.
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown. The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4.
(▼… Stages 3 and 4)
▼ 58% in Tokyo,
45% in Saitama
, 50% in Chiba *,
▼ 52% in Kanagawa
, 45% in Aichi
, 33% in Gifu ,
▼ 64% in Osaka prefecture,
・ 49% in Hyogo prefecture,
・ 45% in Kyoto prefecture,
▼ 54% in Fukuoka prefecture,
・ 20% in Miyagi prefecture,
▼ 68% in Okinawa prefecture,
・ 26% in Ehime prefecture did.
* Chiba prefecture is "49.9%". It is rounded to "50%", but it is below the standard value for stage 3.
* "Hospitalization rate" is the ratio of people who have been hospitalized to all medical treatment.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the "hospitalization rate", the more patients cannot be accepted. In other words, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
▽ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
▽ When the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage decisions are made for these municipalities.