Nadia Calviño has had no choice but to accept reality and accept that the growth forecast that was included in the

General State Budgets

was based more on a desire than inspired by the true economic situation of the country.

The Government will not be able to say that it was not notified by all the national and international organizations and by the state and European supervisors, but Sánchez's difficulties in adding votes in Congress forced him to

er what

satisfy its populist and pro-independence partners - who demanded an expansive spending policy - by inflating growth forecasts (and therefore those for hypothetical new income) to 9.8% of GDP.

Now, with its decrease to 6.5% (that is, 3.3 points less), l

Most of the items included in the Budgets will have to be recalculated to see if they still maintain their validity and viability

.

It is quite probable that, as the revenue forecast falls, many social commitments made by the coalition government cannot be carried out or, if they do, they will be carried out against the deficit.

But if this is worrying, inasmuch as it questions the solvency of the Government when preparing credible Budgets, more so is Calviño's response to this rectification.

It is true that the correction is due in part to the delay in vaccination and

the repercussions of the third wave of the pandemic, both in Spain and in our main trading partners

But that does not justify that, in a forward flight that seems like a new government improvisation, the Vice President of Economic Affairs has affirmed that the "recovery is delayed a quarter".

And that part of the growth that will be lost this year will carry over to 2022, when our country will grow at 7%.

It is unacceptable that Calviño, whose technical preparation and his commitment to budgetary stability are questioned by no one in Spain or the EU, has made reference to next year's growth,

since there was no official estimate for 2022 until today

, and therefore it is a statement, once again, illusory, since it cannot be contrasted with public data.

Nor is the improvement in the labor market any longer plausible, which will experience, according to Calviño, a reduction in the unemployment rate from an average of 15.2% this year to 14.1% next year.

It's more,

All these forecasts are the most optimistic that both the Bank of Spain, the IMF or the OECD have foreseen for any country in our environment

.

And it is that, with an economy paralyzed by the pandemic, more than 750,000 workers included in some ERTE that the vice president herself has recognized that they will have to be extended beyond May 30, almost 200,000 self-employed without being able to work and a summer campaign that is still uncertain for the hospitality industry,

It would not be ruled out for the Government to be forced again to rectify

their forecasts to adjust them again to the true national economic reality.

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