The National Institute for Health and Medical Research (Inserm) expects a significant rebound in the epidemic by the end of March.

In any case, this is what a study unveiled on Tuesday concludes, according to which the health measures in force are not sufficient to stop the spread of the English variant of Covid-19.

The dreaded third wave of Covid-19 has yet to surge, key indicators are down, and yet.

A new Inserm study predicts the worst for March and estimates that the English variant could become dominant in France.

According to the National Institute of Health and Medical Research, the 6 p.m. curfew will soon no longer be sufficient to curb the spread of the epidemic.

And scientists fear that over time, this variant will mostly replace the original virus, which they believe would lead to a surge in the number of hospital admissions.

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To date, less than 10,000 weekly admissions are recorded in health facilities.

A figure which could climb to 15,000 the week of March 7, then to 25,000 the week of March 22, according to their projections, which however seem to go against the current finding and declining indicators.

Insufficient vaccination coverage

But Inserm assures that the current measures taken by the government will not be enough to limit the transmission of the British variant and that the vaccination coverage at the end of March will not be sufficient either.

For the Institute, it will at least be necessary to wait until the end of April to really see the effects of the injections on the spread of the virus in the population.

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This study does not take into account the Brazilian and South African variants, which could further accentuate these figures.