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The Chancellor's Corona advisor, Kai Nagel, expects death rates to fall in the coming month.

This applies in the event that the “current restrictions are retained,” said the telematics professor and mobility researcher at the Düsseldorf “Rheinische Post” on Wednesday.

"The number of intensive treatments is already falling," he said.

“There are usually ten to 14 days between infection and admission to the intensive care unit,” Nagel said.

"The high death rates now are the result of the infections at Christmas and New Year."

The particularly infectious virus mutation does not change his assessment, said the professor.

It is true that the mutation generally makes the situation “worse, all other things being equal,” he said.

"But if we stay disciplined, the incidence values ​​from mid-February can remain at a lower level than today with fewer than 50 weekly cases per 100,000 inhabitants nationwide."

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However, this presupposes “that we limit ourselves longer, because otherwise the numbers will rise again immediately,” warned the scientist. 

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