2022: what are the voting intentions for the possible candidates?

Opinion is publishing a poll on next year's presidential election this Monday morning, with quite striking results.

This is the first time that some of these candidates were tested, showing their desire to go there more and more clearly.

This Harris Interactive poll for the CommStrat firm thus measured the chances on the left of Anne Hidalgo and Arnaud Montebourg, by opposing them alternately to Xavier Bertrand or Valérie Pécresse.

The result is clear.

In all cases, the Macron-Le Pen duo stand out clearly for the second round.

But this time, it is Marine Le Pen who would take the lead, with 26 or 27% depending on the assumptions, or five points better than in 2017. She is therefore getting ahead of the head of state who s 'installs him at 24%.

What does it look like behind them?

Far, it presents itself far.

The Republican right is waking up slowly, very slowly.

Xavier Bertrand is credited with 16% and Valérie Pécresse with 14%.

But it is much more promising than the scores of the other candidates.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who comes out at 10 or 11% depending on the configuration, could no longer replay the great tragic scene of "to 600,000 votes, I was in the second round".

The only consolation for him is that he is ahead of the entire left, including the Greens and their possible / probable candidate Yannick Jadot, who tops out between 7 and 10%.

One, Jean-Luc Mélenchon, never got over the effects of his slippage during the search of the premises of his party, La France Insoumise.

The other, Yannick Jadot, must be disillusioned.

The green wave of municipal governments is not changing, but not at all at the national level.

Perhaps an effect of the excesses of certain green mayors of large cities.

The other hypotheses on the left, like Anne Hidalgo and Arnaud Montebourg?

Arnaud Montebourg who is starting his first political trip to Brittany today.

The left-wing sovereignist candidate still has a good margin of progress, he is only credited with 5% in the first round.

As for Anne Hidalgo, it's a cold shower with six or at best 7% of the voting intentions.

We are far from the bottom wave, far from the movement that had once occurred around Ségolène Royal.

With both feet in the ground, she had succeeded in embodying a part of France, while the mayor of the capital, both feet on her bicycle, has only seduced Parisian boboism for the moment.

It is a fact, France is on the right and in the center, and to date, the only chance that the left has to stop this scenario, it would be a union as broad as possible.

A fiction.