In January 2021, the last local political battles in the United States will be silenced.
The battles of a five-year battle, the course and results of which will be discussed for a long time in the United States and around the world.
The war is far from over.
It is just beginning.
01/06/21, in accordance with American law, a joint session of both chambers of the US Congress will take place, at which legislators must approve the voting protocol of the electoral college.
If at least one representative and at least one senator files a written protest in connection with the voting of electors from any state, such protest must be considered by each of the houses separately, and during such a consideration the joint session of Congress is suspended.
In 2017, when the unexpected presidency of Donald Trump was considered, many Democrats from the House of Representatives protested, but not a single Senator dared to support them.
The "Impossible Donald" was finally confirmed as president-elect, and what Western political science calls the "Trump era" began.
Things may turn out differently in 2021.
A number of Republican lawmakers in both houses have already pledged to sign protest statements over the cleanliness of elections in key US states.
If such statements are properly executed, it will become a sensation in itself.
If elections in any three vacillating states are invalidated by a majority vote of both houses, the fate of the White House will be determined by Congress.
This is, of course, an extremely unlikely development of events.
Even if one or two protests are accepted, they will almost certainly be rejected by at least the House of Representatives, where the Democratic Party has a small but still solid majority.
So on January 6, Joe Biden will overcome the last obstacle on his way to the White House.
The second rounds of the Senate elections in Georgia will take place on the same day.
A lot depends on them - if the Democrats win in both races, they will achieve control over the Senate.
They will have at their disposal 50 mandates out of 100, plus the Vice President of the United States, who, according to American law, participates in the vote if the votes in the upper house are divided exactly in half on any issue.
And then both houses of Congress will be in the hands of the Democratic Party.
In this case, the possibilities of the republican opposition to oppose the White House will be significantly reduced.
And the plans of the new administration are enormous.
Some of Biden's headquarters speaks openly.
Others stem from the program documents of the Democratic Party, statements by party bosses, media moguls and top managers of the largest transnational corporations.
And of course, there is no shortage of advice and appeals that are addressed to the team of the President-elect from publicists, liberal ideologists and experts of all stripes.
It's amazing how the tone of these calls has changed over the past few months.
Until recently, before the November 3 elections, their general meaning boiled down to a "return to normalcy" after the "chaos of the Trump era."
The selection of the president-elect's team seems to be in line with this idea.
The people who formed the backbone of Barack Obama's administration are returning to the White House and federal departments.
Many of them managed to work for Bill Clinton.
Therefore, the press started talking about the "third term of Obama" and even about the "fifth term of Clinton" - all in the logic of "return."
Whether the talk of normality was part of an election campaign or a rhetorical reception by one of the influence groups in Washington is difficult to say, but in recent weeks, very different sentiments have prevailed in the media.
It is clear that Trump sympathetic journalists and politicians do not accept any Obama-Biden "normality."
Moreover, they fear that ultra-left activists will break through to power together with proven liberal bureaucrats.
And if the ultras themselves are not in the corridors of power, then their ideas, with the support of the street and the media, will be adopted by the Washington elite, and at least some of them will be implemented.
These fears are not unfounded.
Over the past 12 years since Obama's inauguration, the overwhelming majority of Democratic politicians in their speeches and actions have always shifted to the left.
Even if some of them did not want it, the general mood of the party activists and the electoral base - campus professors and students, post-industrial townspeople and various minorities - pushed them to adopt a more and more radical left-liberal agenda.
And it is precisely from the spokesmen of the sentiments of this asset that today more and more words are heard about the impossibility and unacceptability of “normality”.
They demand rapid progress along the path of liberal social transformations.
So fast that the Barack Obama of 2008 in 2024 may seem almost ossified conservative.
So both parts of the deeply divided American society do not want a "return to normalcy."
More precisely, political activists, some kind of radicals, do not accept him, but they set the tone in the mood of voters after the shocking and turbulent 2020.
Clinton-Bush-style "normality" no longer suits anyone.
This means that a compromise between the two Americas is also impossible.
A compromise that previously allowed the political pendulum to swing slightly left and right every eight years and kept liberals and conservatives within the same political system.
This is no longer possible.
In the struggle between national-populists and liberal-globalists, a center around which a pendulum would swing cannot appear.
Each of the parties to the conflict must only defeat the other, win completely and completely.
If the old state of affairs in the United States really resembled a pendulum with its equilibrium point exactly in the middle, the current situation is more like an unstable position of a ball on top of a steep hill.
It is worth pushing the ball harder, and it will never return to its starting point.
It will roll downward, finding a new balance somewhere far to the right or left.
All its allies and sponsors urge the new administration to make such an impetus.
First of all, this is required by transnational corporations, digital oligopolies and the international financial elite.
They did not invest so openly in the Democratic election campaign to continue to tolerate political instability at the heart of world capitalism.
They will be able to maintain their power only if the White House and the Capitol ensure the conduct of neoliberal financial and economic policies for at least another 15-20 years.
During this time, it will be possible to destroy the middle class of the West, seriously undermine the power and influence of sovereign states, to weaken the industrial lobby to the limit, primarily the energy lobby, and finally transfer global governance into the hands of supranational bureaucrats controlled by corporate management.
It is difficult to say whether they will succeed or not.
Yet the opposition to what Biden's victory represents is great.
Moreover, this victory radicalized the opponents of the liberal course, those Americans who voted for Trump to the limit.
There are many of these people - over 70 million.
Until 2020, no US presidential candidate received such support.
And all these people are experiencing, as former House Speaker Newt Gingrich aptly put it, "an unprecedented alienation and anger."
Many people in Europe and other parts of the world are in solidarity with them - the very ones who voted in 2016-2019 for the "wrong" candidates and opposed the world liberal establishment.
They understand that with the return of the global leadership to the White House, their chances of achieving nationally oriented policies in their countries have greatly diminished.
First of all, because the main condition for the restoration of allied relations between America and the Old World, which were eroded under Trump, will be a complete cleaning of the European political field from populist political parties and movements.
Experts and politicians speak about this almost openly today from TV screens and the pages of the mainstream press.
The Liberals won a landslide victory in 2020, but if the enemy is allowed to come to his senses, he will undoubtedly try to take revenge.
And these attempts will be facilitated by two circumstances.
First, voters have become convinced that the liberal establishment is by no means all that invincible.
For four years, he burst at the seams and suffered defeat before delivering his main counter-strike against the populists and expelling Trump from the White House.
Secondly, very many people became very angry and turned away, as Mr. Gingrich, mentioned above, correctly noted.
Their protest energy has only increased as a result of the unprecedented efforts of the world elite to regain power.
What's more, after seeing the dirty 2020 American elections, Western populists are likely to adopt tougher political tactics.
This means that neither the Biden administration nor the current European elites have a single chance of a peaceful life.
In any case, in the next four years.
But new electoral events in the West will take place very soon.
There will be general elections in Germany already in 2021.
In 2022, elections will be held in France and Hungary.
In the same year, the Americans will re-elect Congress.
In 2023 Italy, Poland and Spain will take over the baton.
In 2024, elections will be held in Austria and again in the United States.
Therefore, the global leadership, once again based in Washington, will have to act quickly and tough, which also does not contribute to "normalcy."
On the internal circuit of the United States, the establishment must provide one-party rule for a couple of decades in two years.
This will require extraordinary measures.
For example, expanding the composition of the Supreme Court to eliminate the conservative majority that formed under Trump.
This will almost certainly be followed by attempts to make the 51st state out of the District of Columbia.
This will guarantee the Democrats two new liberal senators.
Perhaps the 52nd state will be the unorganized territory of Puerto Rico.
And that's two more senators plus three or four electors.
With guaranteed control over Congress, Democrats will be able to do whatever they want in a presidential election.
Of course, this will require the loyalty of the governor's corps, but this is exactly what the Democrats will do right after Biden takes the presidential oath.
The complex epidemiological environment and the proximity of many key states to bankruptcy serve this purpose perfectly.
Immigration from Mexico and other Latin American countries, as well as the flow of migrants from all over the world through Mexico, will have every conceivable gateway open.
Biden has already said that a humanitarian disaster has broken out on the US southern border.
In this regard, it is planned to almost completely open the borders in order to let everyone into America and ensure the majority of migrants (including illegal ones) quickly obtain citizenship.
In this case, the army of voters of the Democratic Party may replenish by 20-25 million people, and for the most part in the important southern states - Arizona, Texas, New Mexico, Louisiana.
If we act quickly, this army will enter the battle as early as November 2024, when the Democratic administration will have to assert its power.
With reference to economic and social difficulties due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump's tax reform is likely to be canceled.
This, of course, will require control over the Senate, in connection with which the already mentioned elections in Georgia take on special significance.
There, the Democrats will certainly try to apply the same technology that they used in the presidential elections.
If this fails, it does not matter.
Trump's administrative reform will be rolled back, which allowed the American middle class and national producer to breathe deeply.
In the financial sphere, full power will be returned to the Federal Reserve System, significantly curtailed under the 45th president.
The tax, financial and administrative measures of the democratic administration will be aimed at ensuring that digital and green corporations, as well as Wall Street, that is, transnational business, will receive privileges again.
Domestic business, including traditional energy business, as a support base for national populism will be stifled in every possible way.
In all likelihood, the infrastructure program outlined by Trump will be transformed in such a way as to maximally meet the interests of global corporations.
On the external side, in the short term, the new administration will face three pressing challenges.
The first is the aforementioned cleansing of Europe from Eurosceptics and populists.
The second is the reprogramming of international institutions.
Biden has already announced that he wants to convene a global forum of democracies in 2021.
If this venture succeeds, the forum could become a replacement for both the G7 and the G20, as well as significantly undermine the influence of the United Nations, which is already going through hard times.
The third task is to try, in a blitzkrieg, to "put in place" the countries that have made a choice in favor of national sovereignty.
First of all, Russia and China will be in the line of fire.
The Indian government under the leadership of Narendra Modi and the Brazilian administration of Jair Bolsonaru will almost certainly have a hard time.
Already in winter-spring 2021, these countries will feel pressure from Washington and Brussels.
Moreover, measures of financial and economic impact will be combined with ideological interventions, with the use of the entire arsenal of funds at the disposal of Western digital oligopolies.
All this, of course, does not mean that the global leadership that won the battle for Washington has regained stability and that it has won the war in five minutes in its pocket.
Quite the opposite, in the fight against Trump and Trumpism, the world elite suffered heavy losses, primarily reputational ones.
Nearly every component of Western soft power has fallen victim to the ongoing battle.
The liberal establishment has no choice but to launch a desperate attack in all the directions described above, causing even greater alienation and anger in the US and around the world.
Therefore, now the second American Civil War is closer than ever, precisely because of Biden's victory.
For the same reason, Washington under Biden will seriously "gesture" in foreign and domestic policy.
Most of all - in the first two years after the elections.
The United States will have to deal with its internal conflict for a long time to come.
All other countries, claiming a place in the sun in the 21st century, should remain calm and continue to do everything to ensure their independence and stability.
Russia in 2020 has demonstrated confidence and strength.
These are very important qualities in order to emerge from the new year 2021 even more calm and confident in the future.
The waves of destabilization and aggression emanating from Washington are not only a challenge, but also new opportunities that I wish all of us to take advantage of.
The author's point of view may not coincide with the position of the editorial board.