• Live.Coronavirus in Spain

  • Data: Spain triples Italy's death rate in autumn

The data of the epidemic in Spain have been setting successive records for two days in a row that predict a very harsh autumn and winter.

On Friday, a new daily maximum of detected infections was registered again, with

25,595 more cases than the previous day

.

On Thursday, which marked a new peak that has been short-lived, there were 23,580.

The same has happened with the weekly death figures, which have marked 857 deaths registered in the last seven days in Spain on Friday.

The death data is dramatic because already on Thursday, with 790 deaths in that same seven-day period, a record had been reached for this second wave.

What is foreseeable, moreover, is that the figure will not decrease in the coming days and the situation of the hospitals, which is already at the limit in several communities, will

continue to strain in the coming days

.

In fact, Friday's report reports

239 new deaths in one day

, a number that is also a record - not counting the harsh months of March and April - and that is still waiting to be updated with the deceased in residences.

It is also consolidated that during the whole week there have been, on average, more than 120 deaths a day.

"That in 2020, in a developed country like Spain,

more than 100 people die of an infectious disease in a single day is incredible,

" said Joan Caylà, member of the Spanish Epidemiology Society and president of the Foundation of the Tuberculosis Research Unit, in Barcelona.

«With the exception of the Canary Islands, all the other communities have very high incidences.

If these incidents were seen in Germany, for example, they would have taken very serious measures.

On the other hand,

here it is still being discussed whether the curfew is at 10, at 12

... 12, frankly, it is a barbarism, in my opinion at least ", warns this expert, who considers" unfortunately, very It is probable that the number of seriously ill and deceased patients may still increase, given the current levels of transmission.

"It must be taken into account that this is the result of the incidents we had two, three or four weeks ago," says Caylà, referring to the current death toll and the fact that ICUs are "almost overflowing."

This means that, as long as transmission continues, the other indicators will also tend to worsen: "What we see coming is that, in a few days,

hospital admissions to the ICU will increase a lot

."

Until the two consecutive records that we have just suffered, the previous highest number of positives in a single day had been communicated last Thursday 22, when the Ministry of Health registered 20,986 infections.

The data from Thursday and, above all, on Friday are well above it.

These are too high transmission figures and which will be noticed, as is often the case, in the

hospital pressure of the coming weeks

.

Of the more than 25,000 positives added to the global count, 9,723 correspond to diagnostic tests performed in previous days.

Most of the infections of the day were concentrated in Madrid (1,867)

, Catalonia (1,578), Aragon (1,199) and the Basque Country (1,173).

Regarding the painful record of deaths in the last seven days -always referring to this second wave of the virus-,

the communities that have suffered the most deaths have been Andalusia (148 deaths), Madrid (144) and Castilla y León (142)

.

In the best of cases, if the newly implemented measures were to take effect quickly, the situation would still take several days to improve, due to the high transmission registered in recent weeks.

In the whole of Spain, the pressure in hospitals already reaches

14.73% in general beds and 26.59% in intensive beds

.

Pressure in ICUs, a particularly sensitive indicator, is at

unsustainable levels

in

up to six autonomous communities

: Aragón (47.12%), Navarra (40.58%), La Rioja (45.00%), Madrid (38 , 44%) and Castilla y León (37.11%) and Catalonia (38.92%), in addition to Ceuta (41.18%) and Melilla (64.29%).

According to the indicators approved by the Interterritorial Council, 25% or more of Covid patients in intensive care beds already represent the highest level of risk.

Fernando Simón, director of the Center for the Coordination of Health Alerts and Emergencies, admitted on Thursday, in his last appearance of the week, that the data for Spain are "bad" and that the death figures

are "very high" and "will continue to hold

.

In fact, he warned that "there may be some delay" in the notifications and that the real figure could be even higher, as reflected on Friday.

He also stressed that the accumulated incidence data in the whole of Spain is also worrying: the last report of the week marks

a new record also for this indicator: 485.28

.

The whole of Spain, therefore, would approach - if we consider it as a single municipality - the limit set by Health a few weeks ago and led to the perimeter confinement of Madrid capital and other towns.

Given the trend in recent days, it would not be surprising if

the 500 barrier was already exceeded in the next report

.

Simon: "Plan the shadow of confinement"

Asked about the scenario that would open if the regulations in force fail to stop the virus, the Health spokesperson said: “We all know the measures that can be implemented and have not yet been implemented.

Everyone is haunted by the shadow of home confinement

.

Everyone is haunted by the shadow of school closings, which would be, I think, the last thing that should be proposed, and try to avoid it by all means. "

"The shadow of the closure of all non-essential activity is looming over everyone. And I think it is not necessary," Simon considered. "The point is whether these measures have been ruled out or not:

no measure has been ruled out, At no time

. What there is is that they are increasing progressively. And we have to be clear that right now many and very hard are being implemented. There are fewer and fewer left ".

The epidemiologist recalled, in any case, that just a few days ago the new state of alarm was announced, so he asked "

a little bit of care and calm

."

He considered, in this sense, that now it is necessary to "also give a margin, even if it is minimal, to assess the possible impact of the measures" already in force.

In it we are ...

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