The boss of the deputies of La République en Marche sent a note to Emmanuel Macron, with a scenario of government reshuffle. This note should have remained confidential, but it has put an incredible mess in the macronie… because Gilles Le Gendre asks the head of the Prime Minister.

We knew that these two did not get along. But when a request for political execution is made black on white, it takes on a whole new dimension. In addition, Gilles Le Gendre sprinkles 360 °, riddling Jean-Yves Le Drian and Bruno Le Maire with bullets which he cites as potential replacements for the Prime Minister to immediately find them not up to par. A festival…

But basically, does that seem to validate the hypothesis of a ministerial reshuffle? 

At first glance, yes. And it is normal that an adjustment takes place after the municipal elections, to start a new political period after the Covid crisis. Ministers will turn, others will leave. But the real subject is: will Edouard Philippe be maintained or not at Matignon? He is more popular than Emmanuel Macron, he has managed the crisis rather well, but he is the target of all those (as every six months) who plead in the majority for a social turning point, for a fiscal boost, in short for a left turn.

This turn, as we now know, will not be a spin. In particular, Emmanuel Macron would like to relaunch the emblematic pension reform (even if it has to be modified on certain points). The President could thus far bet on the following scenario: I am not upsetting my policy (which has had initial results), but I need someone else to embody it, to politically dress this staying the course . This note puts everything on the ground ...

Because it makes the Prime Minister look like a target?

That's it. It embarrasses the head of state, it exasperates the Prime Minister who can feel attacked, and it reveals that there is no succession in macronie. Before signing it, Gilles Le Gendre should have pondered this cruel remark by George Clémenceau to a diplomat: "To be a good ambassador, said the President of the Council, it is not enough to be stupid, it is also necessary to be kind ".