"One investment for peace of mind, cost-effective!"
Health and economics expert Luo Hardware gave Wuhan centralized nucleic acid detection to calculate economic accounts
Yangtze River Daily News (Reporter Huang Qi) Recently, Wuhan's centralized nucleic acid detection of residents has caused heated discussion. Many netizens expressed their opinions on the economic and social benefits of centralized nucleic acid detection. In this connection, a reporter from the Changjiang Daily interviewed Professor Luo Hardware, the former deputy director of the Hubei Provincial Political Consultative Conference, Education, Culture, Sports and Health Committee, and an expert in health economics from Huazhong University of Science and Technology.
Professor Luo believes that in evaluating a public health policy, it is necessary to weigh the pros and cons from multiple dimensions and analyze the gains and losses. Wuhan focuses on nucleic acid detection, which can comprehensively analyze its value from the dimensions of medicine, economy, society, and politics.
He said: "From the medical dimension, the use of nucleic acid test results can diagnose cases early and detect asymptomatic infections early, achieve effective control of the source of infection, effectively block the transmission route, and better protect the susceptible people; from the economic perspective, Investing hundreds of millions of health funds to carry out centralized nucleic acid detection will make the city safer, and then promote the return to work and production, promote the development of the health industry, and spur the rapid economic recovery. "
"From the sociological dimension, nucleic acid detection will make residents, families, communities, and organizations such as social cells and organizations more at ease. It can also attract investment, promote consumption, and reassure residents. From the political dimension, the national nucleic acid detection reflects The party committee and government's responsibilities and actions reflect the determination and ability of Wuhan's epidemic prevention and control. "Professor Luo said.
How many people with asymptomatic infections will be detected by Wuhan concentrated nucleic acid testing? Can it be calculated? It is reported that in mid-April, the state organized a new coronary pneumonia epidemiological survey, randomly sampled 11,000 people in Wuhan for nucleic acid testing, and found 1 case of nucleic acid positive persons, from which it was estimated that the proportion of asymptomatic infected people in Wuhan at that time was 0.87 / Million. Experts believe that according to the law that the virus detection rate of infectious diseases will gradually decrease over time, plus the previous nucleic acid testing of key populations, some asymptomatic infected persons have been identified. At present, the detection of asymptomatic infected persons in the city The rate may have dropped to about 0.3 / 10,000. If it is calculated based on the detection rate of 0.3 / 10,000, about 300 asymptomatic infected people can be detected among 10 million residents, which is of great significance for the accurate prevention and control of normal epidemic situations and effective risk reduction.
"Economics often talks about the relationship between input and output, cost and benefit. Generally speaking, large input will be large. Wuhan invests a lot of manpower and a large amount of funds for centralized nucleic acid detection. Its direct output, such as who it finds, It is an asymptomatic infected person, who is not in an infected state now, and the benefits are also great. Of course, we must also use our brains to reduce costs, such as the application of 'mixed inspection' technology to improve the one-time success rate of detection. "Professor Luo said .
"It's like a disease diagnosis. Many test results are negative, but negative results also have clinical value, which can help rule out certain diseases. It also looks like a health checkup. It costs hundreds of yuan or thousands of yuan. Identifying the disease can be treated early, and the disease cannot be found. It will also be reassuring. The efficacy of nucleic acid testing includes not only who is found to be positive, but also who is found to be negative. Therefore, one cannot simply equate the number of inputs and the number of positives detected. Professor Luo added.
He believes: "Wuhan, as a megacity, must have a strong economy to build a national central city. To develop an economy, it must first have a safe environment. The safer the city, the more assured investors and the more assured residents will be. The prevention and control of the epidemic will prevail one day earlier. The city will get a huge economic return one day earlier. From the perspective of health economics, a single investment can be reassured and cost-effective! "