- The map with the red or green colors for a more or less strict deconfinement of the departments must be published this Thursday evening, but only that of May 7 will serve as an indicator for local authorities.
- According to Renaud Muselier, the president of the Paca region, the Bouches-du-Rhône should be classified in red.
- However, all the indicators, the rate of new cases, resuscitation capacities and screening capacities are good, except the number of new hospitalizations.
The Bouches-du-Rhône, an exception in the fight against Covid-19? Many have advanced the good figures of the department, especially in terms of mortality, to highlight the results of the treatment proposed by Professor Didier Raoult. But at a time when deconfinement is coming to an end and local authorities are working to adapt it locally, everyone is staring at two colors: green and red.
The government announced that the deconfinement would be progressive according to the color of the department: a more flexible deconfinement for the departments in green, and more strict for those in red. The Paca region is far from being the most affected by the Covid-19 pandemic, unlike the Grand-Est or the Ile de France. However, as announced by the president of the region Renaud Muselier Wednesday evening, the Bouches-du-Rhône should appear in red on the map released for the first time this Thursday by Jérôme Salomon, the director general of Health.
Provisional card until May 7
Information that currently refuses to confirm the ARS Paca. “We are not going to come forward before Jérôme Salomon takes the floor, who will give the cards and the colors. For the moment we do not yet have enough concrete elements and it is only a provisional card, pending that of May 7, ”says one. According to the ARS, the maps released until May 7 will be indicative and provisional, it will be that of next Thursday that will allow the prefects and mayors to adapt the deconfinement. A readjustment should not then take place for three weeks, according to the ARS.
The health agency specifies the criteria retained: "The rate of new cases in the population over the last seven days, the number of hospitalizations, hospital capacities in intensive care and the local system of case detection tests" On its site Internet, it is specified that since the activation of phase 2 of the organization of critical care, 981 beds can be mobilized in the intensive care units. As of April 21, 334 people were hospitalized in the intensive care unit in the region, and on April 28, the last data available, they were 287. That is to say approximately one third of the resuscitation capacities in the Paca region.
#Containment: we all want a 100% green region! 🟢
By respecting confinement until May 11, by remaining rigorous and determined in front of # COVID19, we will manage to fight to regain our freedoms! pic.twitter.com/8Z3UXXTDot
Good indicators, except for hospitalizations
In terms of testing, if the city of Marseille has a long time, and can still be, the best student in France and even in the world, the department of Bouches-du-Rhône is the one where we practice the most tests in France. Note that the data available are only available for screening tests carried out by city laboratories. In the week from April 13 to April 19, here too, the latest data is available. 5,202 tests were carried out in Bouches-du-Rhône, far ahead of the approximately 2,000 tests carried out in the departments of Ile-de-France. The Bouches-du-Rhône therefore seems there as well armed.
Regarding the first indicator, the rate of new cases in the population over the past seven days, only data from city laboratories are available. Between April 18 and April 24, the positive rate in the Bouches-du-Rhône was 3.66%, compared to 8.4% in Moselle, and up to almost 14% in Paris. Here too, the indicators seem fairly reassuring.
Only the number of new hospitalizations is at a relatively high level currently in Bouches-du-Rhône. Between April 21 and 28, 80 people per day are newly hospitalized in Bouches-du-Rhône, roughly the same number of people as in Seine Saint-Denis, one of the departments most affected, with 80, 6 new hospitalizations on average per day. When the Rhône department has 53.6 hospitalizations per day on average, and the Alpes Maritimes, 12.3. It remains to be seen how each indicator will be calculated and weighted precisely to define the color of a department. And as the ARS warns, "a department in red this Thursday can become green on May 7, and vice versa". The cards for that day will therefore be decisive for the next three weeks.
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- Covid 19
- Deconfinement
- Society
- Coronavirus
- Marseille