How many people will travel during the May Day holiday? The two predictions differ by more than 50 million
The "May Day" small holiday in 2020 is coming, this holiday is 5 days.
On April 22, Xinhua News Agency reported that booking data from multiple travel platforms showed that the "May Day" tourism fever has rebounded, the number of tourists is expected to hit a new high since the epidemic, and tourism consumption preferences have shown new changes. Taking Gansu Province as an example, according to "Gansu Daily" learned from Ctrip Group, according to big data forecast analysis, this year's "May Day" small holiday is popular "reservation tour", Mingsha Mountain Crescent Spring and other top ten scenic spots in Gansu are popular.
However, in the just past Qingming holiday, tourists gathered in Huangshan Scenic Area in Anhui Province, causing controversy. Many people also expressed concern about the "May Day" travel.
How many people will travel? The two predictions differ by more than 50 million people
According to a report from CCTV, on April 21, the Academy of Economics and Strategy of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, the Tourism Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the Social Sciences Literature Publishing House published the "Tourism Green Book: Analysis and Forecast of China's Tourism Development 2019-2020" .
Research by the Tourism Research Center of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences shows that under the scenario of cautious forecasting, the predicted value of total tourist arrivals in 2020 is 3.941 billion person-times, a decrease of 34.97% from the same period of the previous year; the predicted value of total tourism revenue is 392.2883 billion yuan The same period last year fell by 39.83%.
Regarding the "May Day" small long holiday, the above-mentioned Green Paper believes that the "May Day" holiday is still in the epidemic period, and the total number of tourism trips during the "May Day" is predicted to be 301 million, and the predicted value of total tourism revenue is 16.578 billion yuan. Compared with the same period of the previous year, they decreased by 84.1% and 85.91% respectively. The epidemic caused a potential decline in total tourism trips of 197 million, with a potential decline rate of 86.4%, a potential loss of total tourism revenue of 124.773 billion yuan, and a potential loss rate of 88.27%.
In another forecast, the number of visitors on the "May Day" will approach 90 million.
The Sino-Singapore Jingwei client reported on April 22 that the May Day holiday can take 5 consecutive days off. This is the first time in many years that the policy of long and short holidays has been implemented. The China Tourism Research Institute previously disclosed that the total number of domestic tourist receptions for the Qingming Holiday this year was 43.254 million. According to the report released by Ctrip, the number of visitors during the "May Day" is expected to be more than twice that of Qingming, and the first real peak of tourism will appear this year.
Ctrip released the "Big Data Report on the New May 2020 Tourism Consumption Trends", saying that the number of scenic spots that can be reserved on the platform during the "May Day" period will exceed 4,000. According to the statistics of Ctrip tickets, the provinces and cities with the largest number of scenic spots that can be reserved are Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Shandong, Sichuan, Henan, Yunnan, Anhui, Guangxi, and Jiangxi.
Prevention and control continues: Zhengzhou requires teachers and students to leave the city in principle during the holiday
"In the process of promoting resumption of production and production, we must properly handle the relationship between the need for epidemic prevention and control and the resumption of business operations in the tourism industry, so that resumption of production and production can always serve the overall situation of epidemic prevention and control."
The above-mentioned Green Paper editor-in-chief, Song Rui, director of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences 'Tourism Research Center and Feng Jun, a special researcher of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences' Tourism Research Center jointly wrote an article. For this purpose, big data can be used to do a special analysis of the tourism industry's resumption of production and key area detection Early warning, return personnel detection, etc.
Surging news noticed that on April 22, the Tourism Bureau of Gansu Province pointed out in the tourist safety reminder that tourists should wear masks throughout the holiday, wash their hands and disinfect frequently; observe traffic, scenic spots, accommodation, catering and other operations The unit's epidemic prevention and control measures shall cooperate with body temperature detection and identity registration.
A few days ago, the Anhui Provincial Department of Culture and Tourism also made it clear that the 4A and above tourist attractions in Anhui must implement all scheduled tours on statutory holidays to achieve "due to contract" and ensure safe and orderly opening in the normalization of epidemic prevention and control.
The Zhengzhou Municipal Education Bureau stated that the key to whether other grades in the city can return to school and resume school smoothly after the May Day is the management of students during the May Day. At the school level, the "May 1" holiday teachers and students management method should be formulated in advance, and teachers should guide teachers and students to truthfully report holiday trends. Areas with severe epidemics; pay attention to food safety and cultivate a healthy lifestyle. During the holidays, in principle, students and teachers should not leave the city. The school principal should guide and advocate that parents should not leave Zhengzhou City to reduce risks and ensure that teachers and students return safely to school after resumption of school.
How should individual tourists choose their destinations? Be well protected?
At the press conference of the Joint Defense and Joint Control Mechanism of the State Council held on April 23, Feng Luzhao, a researcher at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, said that for most areas where there is no recent case report, it is safe to travel, but there are still new daily For imported cases or local cases, we must remain vigilant and be aware of the risk of contracting new coronary pneumonia. Traveling is not recommended for some high-risk groups such as the elderly, patients with chronic diseases, and pregnant women.
Feng Luzhao said that travellers should pay attention to prevention and make preparations before traveling. It is recommended to travel near the wrong peak, try to avoid popular attractions or peak hours of attractions, and avoid carrying out some entertainment projects in confined spaces. If you plan to travel across regions, Areas with no recent case reports should be selected, and the scenic area should be contacted in advance. It is necessary to take good protection during travel, line up in the scenic area in order to maintain interpersonal distance, of course, maintain good hygiene habits, pay attention to cough etiquette, and do good hand hygiene at any time.
Surging news reporter Zhong Yuhao