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The indications of the experts are clear: even when you can go out it will be necessary to keep the distance of at least one meter between us and incorporate the mask in public places. In order to say that the coronavirus has been won, it will take weeks . The latest data in Italy is positive, but the zero contagion rate is far, so the road to reopening is long.

For this reason, the Transalpine Country Council of Ministers will meet on Wednesday and on Thursday will decree a total lockout until the end of Easter. If the number of patients continues to decrease, it will begin to propose possible exits to confinement. In any case, until the beginning of May you will not be able to walk and bars and restaurants will not be open . Also clothing stores and beauty centers must keep their blinds down a little longer.

The new measures will take effect next Saturday and will last until April 18. The experts of the scientific committee are working to express their opinion, but the fundamental indications are already on the table and indicate that, at least, until April 12 there will be no change , as confirmed by the head of the Italian Ministry of Health, Roberto Speranza. "At the technical committee meeting it has been considered to extend all the confinement measures until at least Easter. What the government decides will go in that direction ."

In the coming days, the reopening of some business activities that were not on the essential list may be evaluated. For example, chemical or mechanical engineering companies, which will have to demonstrate if they follow the safety guidelines and action protocols against coronavirus.

Different scenarios

The Government is building different scenarios, taking into account the difficulties of those who are without work and without pay due to the obligation to stay at home. But being clear that the rigidity of the measures taken can accelerate the end of the state of emergency. On Monday, the Deputy Minister of Health, Pierpaolo Sileri, spoke of the possibility that the peak of the disease will be reached "in seven or 10 days . "

From that moment, the number of new infections must be contrasted to meet a rate close to 0.7 or 0.8%. It may arrive in two to three weeks. Only then can you assess what other activities can return to normal. A few days ago, scientists had "suggested" leaving the places where crowds of people occur, such as discos, pubs or event rooms, at the end of the reopening list. For bars and restaurants the possibility of reopening does not seem close. The arrival of spring and the possibility of being on the terraces will not serve to speed up times: the problem is, in fact, in the contact between people.

When the emergency ends, locals will have to meet more demands than before the Covid-19 epidemic. It will be mandatory to maintain the safety distance between clients . At least a meter between the tables. It will also be mandatory to implement areas that guarantee the purity of the environment.

The resumption of productive activities is viewed favorably by the Government because it is key to social balance. But experts have already been explicit about the possibility of an impromptu reopening: contagion could resume with incalculable damage . In gyms, beauty centers or hairdressers the risk is higher. People are much closer and the possibility of new infections is too dangerous.

"The danger," the scientists warn, "is the new transmission of the virus between families, which could create a new and serious emergency . We must go slowly, gradually, in order to prevent the positives from coming out and being in the Street". That still takes a long time.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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