The two censure motions tabled against the government to prevent it from going into force on pension reform will be debated today. The majority being large, the pension reform will therefore be deemed adopted by the Assembly before the end of the week.

The two censure motions tabled against the government to prevent it from going into force on pension reform will therefore be debated today.

Two motions of censure, which is extremely rare in the annals of the National Assembly. Two because Emmanuel Macron's positioning at the center of the political game forces him to face two oppositions, one on his left and one on his right.

Except that they have no chance of being voted, these two motions of censure?

No, the majority are large. The pension reform will therefore be deemed adopted by the Assembly before the end of the week.

Which makes the opposition react violently.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon even spoke of "totalitarian impulses". That's the problem, with the leader of France Insoumise, he always goes a step too far in the outburst. What is certain is that his party, allied with the Communists, had given a pitiful image of parliamentary work, with nearly 40,000 amendments tabled, most of which were more of a farce. Blocking to block is not a debate, this is not democracy.
"We had to get the Assembly out of the rut," said the Prime Minister to explain the use of 49-3.

Yes, except that this rut ​​was partly dug by the government itself. He made mistakes in his calendar options, he made mistakes in parliamentary tactics, he wanted to lead the adoption of a law and a conference with the unions and employers to find out how to finance this law. This is all quite incomprehensible. Moreover, the subject is far from being closed since the Senate will now be seized of the text and put its grain of salt.

Will he block in turn?

No, the Senate is the Senate. But its president, Gérard Larcher, does not hide that it will try to save time and that there will be no vote before the end of the funding conference, no vote before knowing what is the balance and the viability of this law. So we still have it for weeks.

But in the end, it is the Assembly which has the last word, is it it which wins?

She wins, but in reality everyone loses. The government, which finds itself obliged to block a parliamentary debate precisely to protest against the blocking of a debate; the opposition that his maneuvers did not grow in the affair; the social partners who completely lose their grip on the subject. And then Emmanuel Macron himself, who is already entitled to an intolerance trial. But there is more: in principle, the 49-3 is there to allow a government to force its majority to close ranks. This time, it is the opposite, it is used to coerce the opposition. Except, no luck, that there is a collateral damage in the majority which sees some of its members openly rebelling (as never since the election of Emmanuel Macron). It may be a turning point in the quinquennium.