• Controversy: Has the Hollywod Academy revealed the winners of the 2020 Oscars?

In Hollywood everything moves for money. Even the prizes. The reliable evidence is the times, counted on the fingers of one hand, in which a film with a poor performance at the box office has won the Oscar for best film. It happened in 2016, the year Moonlight dethroned La La Land after the famous change of envelopes and the skating of Warren Betty, and earlier in 2010 with In hostile land . We talked about that battle between a purely commercial film like Avatar and a film about the war in Iraq that almost nobody went to see in theaters.

On both occasions it was not possible to overcome the barrier of 30 million dollars in the United States, a figure considered low in the first entertainment market worldwide. The rest has been a history of films with a wide flip at the box office, fueling the maxim that academics like to support successful projects.

From 1980 to 2004 almost all the winners of the statuette for the best film were among the 20 most fundraising tapes of the year. And four were even the undisputed queens in their year in public attendance at the theaters: Rain Man in 1988, Forrest Gump in 1994, Titanic in 1997 and The Return of the King in 2003.

Hence, every year it is prudent to analyze the options of the contestants taking into account their muscle. Although in the last decade the correlation has been attenuated, with a commitment from the Academy for more artistic films such as Birdman , The Artist or 12 years of slavery , it still seems to be a weight factor. Starting from that base, Joker is the best placed of the nine nominees this year . The dark exercise of Todd Philips became a phenomenon in cinemas at the time, with 335 million in the US and overcoming the barrier of one billion worldwide. Of course, the victory options of the film starring Joaquin Phoenix are remote, according to the pools.

Of the favorites, all meet the requirement of the box office except The Irish, doomed to the rigors of the Netflix system. His squalid passage through a few movie theaters to qualify for the prize season did not leave even a million dollars at the box office , according to Box Office Mojo, a ridiculous result compared to the 142 million Erase once ... in Hollywood , by Quentin Tarantino, and the 119 million he has raised to date 1917 , by Sam Mendes.

Keep an eye on the Korean Parasites . Not only is the undisputed favorite to win the Oscar for best foreign film, a category where it competes with the Spanish Dolor and Gloria , but it is causing a sensation among the new generations of Americans in cinemas. The Hollywood Reporter echoed the 33.2 million dollars that Bong Joon-Ho's tape has entered to date, in one of the best results of a foreign film in the US, with 60% of viewers among 18 and 34.

An image of the tuir erased by the Academy.

No one would be surprised, therefore, that he won the jackpot next Sunday, especially after there was a sort of leak by the Hollywood Academy with the list of winners through a tweet published by accident and deleted shortly after. In that message, which managed to capture the Deadline publication, Parasites appeared as best film, Sam Mendes as best director by 1917 and Joaquin Phoenix and Renée Zellweger as best actor and actress.

The Academy clarified later that their elections will reveal them on Sunday and that those predictions are just that, bets that some interpreted as the final results. "The error has been resolved," they wrote. It must also be taken into account that the voting among academics had not yet been closed when the error escaped. But to speculate, do not remain.

According to the criteria of The Trust Project

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