In the nineteenth century, that of parliamentarism and the extension of suffrage, the Press used an endearing formula: "The mutable opinion." "It will be that no surveys were done," the reader will say. And some reason will have, because it was worth more the fief of a solid rural chieftain than the so-called "states of opinion." However, before the second to last century, the episodes of moving in opinion are constant. In fact, half of the history books are from the fall of the greats and the exaltation of the boys, who, when they grow up, fall, and so on, eternally. In the West, destiny is blamed; in China, to the loss of the mandate of heaven by the emperor. But it has never been known exactly when and why the opinion changes.

Three months ago and only two years ago, the surveys predicted that the PSOE's act of electoral selfishness provoking new elections would be crowned with success: no less than 140 seats were attributed to it, and some arrived in their projections at 160. With Podemos on the downside, we read, absolute majority and without the need of nationalists; An anchovy and go.

Month and a half later, the PSOE splashes on the electoral ground from which it departed as if it were its sky. And if the predicted fall to Icarus Rivera, the judicial avatars of the coup d'etat in Catalonia and the heroic commitment of the Government to invade the Valley of the Fallen with the battleship of the Supreme to defeat the urgent body of Franco, we would speak only of that moving of opinion about Sánchez.

But Iván Redondo and his boss were not mistaken in July. What they could not foresee was that the electoral repetition and the first data of the economic crisis took their toll so soon. These are the only reasons that seem relatively rational to me: the first, because the management of the blockade caused by the Government has been very rude, endorsing it to others; the second, because the most credited way to verify the change in opinion is the loss of confidence in the economy. And there is not a single index that has not sunk in August, although for me two stand out: the sudden drop in consumption and the increase in savings, the two classic ways in which uncertainty about the future is manifested. Someone, not the manirroto, should be responsible. And involuntarily, for once, it's up to Sanchez.

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