Every day, Didier François deals with an international topic.

The Italian Senate has refused Tuesday to vote the motion of censure against his own government by the Minister of the Interior, Matteo Salvini. However, the constitutional crisis is far from resolved?

The only thing that is certain at this stage is that the Italian government is clinically dead. Matteo Salvini (who is also the leader of the Northern League) shattered the coalition that linked him to the Five Star Movement for 14 months. The Minister of the Interior claiming nothing less than "full powers". It was he who provoked this constitutional crisis by filing a motion of no confidence against the Prime Minister, Guiseppe Conde. So clearly, the two parties can no longer rule together. This break is consumed, there will be no compromise or backtracking. What we are seeing is the discussion of how to unplug this government. And there, very clever one who knows how it will end, because the number of possible "combinazione" are truly infinite in the subtle meanders of the policy of transalpine. We can see what Matteo Salvini is aiming for, he wanted to get early elections as soon as possible (ideally in the fall, around October) because the polls are extremely favorable to him. The Northern League seems to have vampirized the electorate of the Five Star Movement since the last elections the Northern League had won 17.2% of the vote against 32.6% for Five Stars. While polls predict a trend reversal (with 36% or 38% of voting intentions for the League), an increase of 20 points.

Only, Matteo Salvini is not at all sure to get new elections?

In any case, his first stroke failed because he did not have a majority in the Senate. However, the upper house has refused to overthrow the Prime Minister (Guiseppe Conte) who will speak in front of her August 20 in office, not resigned. And one of the options now open would be the formation of a new coalition between the Five Star Movement and the old center-left party that ruled the country until 2018, the Democratic Party. It has 18.7% of the vote and could therefore replace the Northern League in the government. This was suggested by the former Prime Minister (Matteo Renzi) whose senators have rescued five stars to defeat the motion of no confidence. It would return to a classic polarization in Italy since, for his part, Matteo Salvini has forged in recent days an alliance with two other right-wing organizations that supported his anti-government charge (Silvio Berlusconi's Forza Italia and a neo-fascist group who is called the Brothers of Italy). But again, nothing is played! Developing a common agenda for five-star populists and Democratic managers with a strong attachment to Europe will not be an easy task. The other solution envisaged would be the formation of a provisional executive called "institutional", composed of technicians who would manage the country before the convening of general elections at a later date, which no one would venture to mention. It is clear that Matteo Salvini did not succeed. But Italy has indeed entered a troubled period of uncertainty and political instability.