Who will be the first to fight tankers .. Iran or Britain?

Although the new spokesman for the Iranian government, Ali Rabie refused to have any relationship to the detention of the British ship in the Straits of Hormuz on the subject of Britain's detention of the Iranian ship in the Straits of Gibraltar, followed by Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Jawad Zarif in a similar statement; it is no secret that the most important reasons The British ship was stopped by the British Navy three weeks earlier.

To confirm this, it may be possible to refer to the statement of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei - two days before the British ship was seized - when he threatened to retaliate against Britain, as well as the remarks of the head of the Iranian Islamic Shura Council, who said that the detention of the British ship was a response by the Revolutionary Guard Iranian.

The British navy, according to international law, has detained the Iranian ship on the grounds that it suspects its destination is the Syrian port of Banias, thereby violating European sanctions against the Syrian government; while some international experts confirm that the sanctions European countries - in accordance with international law - do not include other non-EU members.

Thus, even though the Russian Grace One, carrying Iranian refined oil (oil, tar and kerosene), was destined for Syria, the British Navy had no right to stop the vessel. In addition, Spain objected to the suspension of Grace One in its territorial waters and its Foreign Minister stated that the British Navy had stopped the vessel at the request of the United States.

This last point confirms that the United States and Britain planned this process with greater objectives than the subject of the ship heading to Syria. They knew very well that this ship could not dock in the Syrian port of Banias, and that it was entering the Mediterranean to distribute the refined oil to Iran's European customers.

One of the Americans' goals was to expose European customers buying Iranian oil and smuggle it into Europe, as well as closing Iranian outlets to bypass US sanctions.

But as the diplomats in the Iranian Foreign Ministry point out, the most important goal for the Americans and British of the operation is to push Iran to retaliate with the arrest of a British ship to cover the Iranian declaration of increasing the rate of uranium enrichment. Join any coalition formed to protect navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.

For this reason, since the capture of Grace One, the Iranians have decided to try to solve the crisis diplomatically. Despite the escalation in the region to raise the cost to Britain for holding the ship, they tried to work behind the scenes to resolve the crisis.

On the other hand, groups inside Iran have been asserting from the outset that the only way to silence Britain and the United States is to hold British ships - not even one ship - by the Revolutionary Guard, and disregard for any plan behind the scenes. It can be said that the voice of the Secretary-General of the Iranian Expediency Council Mohsen Rezai, a former commander of the Revolutionary Guard, was the highest in this regard.

In fact, British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt promised his Iranian counterpart to resolve the tanker crisis by 19 July, but Iranians were surprised by the court's decision to extend the ship's hold for 30 days. Immediately, the Revolutionary Guards took advantage of the British ship Stena Imbro's arrest and held it in the same way that Britain captured the Grace One ship.

Two days earlier, the Revolutionary Guards detained another British ship flying the Panamanian flag by accusing it of smuggling Iranian petrol. The Panamanian authorities confirmed that the ship was smuggling fuel. On the same night, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards detained another British ship, Masdar, but was released after less than an hour.

The United States withdrew its hand from the issue of protecting British ships, saying it was the responsibility of the British Navy, stressing the need to create an international coalition to protect navigation in the region, which may be intended to carry Arab countries to pay his bill.

According to some European diplomatic sources in Tehran, European countries are not convinced of being dragged behind the United States in their challenges to Iran, so they are unwilling to form a coalition that can fuel conflicts and instead prefer to work to reduce conflict in the region.

In this context, Britain finds itself in a quagmire that it may not have expected, as European countries do not trade in protecting its ships, especially after the election of Boris Johnson to head the British government, which is pro-British exit from the European Union.

The cost of such protection is very high for Britain in these difficult economic conditions, and its navy can not protect all the British ships in the region, numbering more than six hundred ships per month. The cost of securing British vessels that want to go to the region has more than tripled, greatly harming the British economy.

Iran, on the other hand, does not want to increase tension in the region, but knows well that if it allows the issue to pass unnoticed, it could turn into a heresy, whereby Iranian oil carriers will be held around the world. So it has always threatened that it will not allow any country to export its oil from this region if it is not allowed to export its oil.

While some believe that Iran's threats are intended to close the Strait of Hormuz, the past months have shown that the aim is not only to show the ability to close the Strait of Hormuz, but to prove that Iran and its allies can destroy all oil wells, harbors and oil supply lines in the region. Countries of the region Oil production and export.

Of course, doing so would lead to a full-scale war in the region. This is what the "four team of four" (John Bolton / Benjamin Netanyahu / Mohammed Bin Zayed / Mohammed bin Salman) wants, as the Iranian foreign minister calls it.

Certainly, Iran also does not want this war to happen, but creating a US coalition to protect navigation in the region - as the "four-team team" seeks - will lead to a direct confrontation between Iran and the members of this coalition, because the coalition will formally be directed towards Iran . Therefore, Iran also prefers not to enter into this maze and wants to resolve the crisis politically.

According to foreign diplomats in Tehran, the new British government will seek to solve this issue diplomatically to overcome this obstacle as soon as possible, and of course need to find a way to save the face of Britain in this area. Iran and Britain are therefore expected to respond to international mediation, such as Omani mediation.

The key to the solution could be this time through the Russians who own the Grace One ship, and a number of their navigators are the cadres of the British vessel being held at the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas. But it is certain that the rift between Iran and Britain will continue to see who will collapse first?