China-Singapore Jingwei Client, July 31 (Xiong Jiali, Dong Xiangyi) Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released the real estate development investment data of 31 provinces in the first half of 2021.
The Sino-Singapore Jingwei client combed and found that in terms of the cumulative value of real estate development investment, Guangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang ranked the top three in the first half of the year.
Guangdong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are firmly in the top three
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June, the national real estate development investment was 7,217.9 billion yuan.
In terms of provinces, Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang ranked the top three in real estate development investment, each exceeding 600 billion yuan.
Among them, Guangdong took the lead with 816.781 billion yuan, Jiangsu and Zhejiang ranked second and third with 724.589 billion yuan and 603.681 billion yuan respectively.
The Sino-Singapore Jingwei client combed and found that Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang have been in the top three "thrones" of real estate development investment in the first half of the year for many years. Among them, Guangdong has ranked first for six consecutive years from 2016 to 2021.
It is worth noting that the top real estate development investment in 2014 and 2015 was Jiangsu.
Li Yujia, chief researcher of the Guangdong Provincial Housing Policy Research Center, analyzed the Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client's analysis and pointed out that, in general, the provinces with more population inflows and larger populations, the larger the scale of real estate development investment.
Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shandong behind are all provinces with large populations, so the scale of real estate development investment is also large.
Moreover, these provinces have a relatively large migrant population, and the process of urbanization has accelerated, and real estate development has shifted from an incremental stage to a stock stage, which is a very strong driving force for development investment.
14 provinces grew faster than the whole country, and Hubei soared by 83.4%
According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to June this year, investment in real estate development across the country increased by 15.0% year-on-year, an increase of 17.2% over the January-June 2019 period, and an average growth rate of 8.2% over the two years.
In terms of provinces, in the first half of 2021, the real estate development investment in the 14 provinces of Hubei, Xinjiang, Ningxia, Tibet, Hunan, Inner Mongolia, Jilin, Hainan, Gansu, Beijing, Qinghai, Shandong, Jiangsu, and Sichuan all grew faster than the whole country.
Among them, Hubei ranked first with a growth rate of 83.4%, and Xinjiang ranked second with a growth rate of 66.7%, which is a far cry from Ningxia, which ranked third.
Regarding the performance of real estate development investment in the first half of the year, Zhuge Real Estate Data Research Center pointed out that the cumulative growth rate of real estate development investment in the first half of the year has slowed for four consecutive months since March, but the cumulative growth rate remains at a high level. Real estate market investment confidence Still higher than last year.
According to the analysis by the Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, due to the different levels and scales of economic development across the country, the real estate investment directions in various regions show different characteristics. In general, the growth rate of real estate development investment in the northwest region is relatively fast, mainly due to the low base of the city itself.
The growth rate of development investment in the central region has led the way for several consecutive months, mainly driven by the city's economic level and the relatively high degree of enthusiasm in the core area.
Among them, from the data on the growth rate of real estate development investment in 31 provinces, Hubei's growth rate in the first half of the year ranked first in the country. Due to the epidemic, Hubei's low base number has led to a relatively large growth rate.
Institutions: The market is expected to stabilize in the second half of the year
Regarding the real estate investment trend in the second half of the year, Xie Yifeng, director of the China Urban Real Estate Research Institute, believes that there may be a downward trend and the investment growth rate will continue to fall.
The Zhuge Real Estate Data Research Center stated that the real estate development investment will continue to remain at a high level in the second half of the year, and the growth rate of development investment will stabilize. With the acceleration of new construction and construction, the growth rate of development investment for the whole year is expected to rise to 8 Around %-10%, higher than the same period last year.
Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of E-House Research Institute, pointed out in an interview with Sino-Singapore Jingwei Client that from the perspective of market expectations, real estate development investment needs to pay attention to structural changes.
In particular, there are also various reforms in the housing market, such as affordable rental housing, shared property housing, etc. These are all things that need to be paid attention to in the follow-up.
In addition, it is necessary to further guide real estate enterprises to treat the land market rationally, obtain land reasonably, and actively research new products and new markets.
(Zhongxin Jingwei APP)
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