Chinanews Client Beijing, May 8th (Zuo Yukun) The "May 1st" small holiday in 2021 is different from the hot travel scene. In the context of the significant tightening of the previous control policies, the real estate market has been relatively calm ".
According to the monitoring of the Zhuge Housing Search Data Research Center, during the "May 1st" period, 11,568 new houses were sold in key 20 cities, a decrease of 46.2% from the same period in April.
Data map: There are many buildings in Fuzhou City.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Wang Dongming
The property market in first, second and third-tier cities has cooled significantly
58. City and Anjuke's "May 1st Holiday Property Market Report 2021" shows that during the "May 1st" period, the property market popularity index for first-tier cities was 119.0, the property market popularity index for second-tier cities was 95.8, and the property market popularity index for third-tier cities was 108.6, respectively. Fell.
Among them, the second-tier cities saw the biggest drop in the housing market during the May 1st holiday, and the 12.3% drop directly caused its popularity to be lower than the level in 2019; followed by the third-tier cities with a decline of 8.0%; while the first-tier cities had only a 0.4% decline. fall.
Taking the city as a coordinate, in the key 20 cities data of Zhuge's housing search statistics, only 3 cities saw a month-on-month increase in new house transaction volume, while the remaining 17 cities declined.
Among them, Chengdu ranked first in the month-on-month decline, with a decline of 95.8%; Guangzhou, with a month-on-month decline of 86.9%, ranking second; Dongguan, with a month-on-month decline of 80.1%, ranking third.
Among the first-tier cities, Beijing and Shenzhen fell by 72.4% and 62.9% respectively.
Data from the Shell Research Institute also showed that the popularity of the new house market in first-tier cities declined during the May 1st period, and the number of projects in the hundred cities of the Shell Finding Platform dropped by 11%.
Similar to the performance of the new housing market, the second-hand housing market also went cold during the "May Day" period.
During the short holiday, the average daily transaction volume of second-hand housing in Shell 50 City dropped by about 5% compared with the same period last year.
Compared with the average daily level during the weekend of April, the second-hand housing transaction volume in 90% of the 50 cities has declined, indicating that most cities have maintained a downward adjustment trend.
Data map: A real estate development under construction.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Bin
Why cool down? What is the trend of housing prices?
Lu Qilin, research director of 58 Anju Guest House Property Research Institute, believes that there are certain similarities between the holiday property market and the homecoming property market. The main reason is that the demand for home purchases flows from core cities to fourth, fifth, and sixth-tier cities. The data directly reflects the national market. The popularity index is significantly higher than the first-tier, second-tier, and third-tier cities, and with the development of mobile internet technology in the past two years, home buyers can directly find a house through the APP during the travel process, which has led to an active search for houses in county-level cities.
Shell Research Institute believes that in the first quarter of this year, the demand for home purchases was concentrated. Since April, the market has entered a high-level adjustment state. The market performance continued in early May. In addition, most consumers took advantage of the May Day holiday to travel or return to their hometowns this year. Decrease in market activity.
What cannot be ignored is the impact of the recent intensive introduction of regulatory policies.
“On the one hand, the impact on the market after the increase in the regulation in the first quarter has gradually appeared. On the other hand, during the volatility of the new home market, most customers chose to travel during the May Day holiday, which brought down the attention of the new home market.” Shell Research Institute said.
"From a general perspective of the May Day holiday, the housing market during the small holiday in most cities is not very hot. Under heavy regulation in various places in April, all cities have cooled down under the influence of regulation. Although there has been no overall price reduction, the transaction volume has already increased. A slight downward trend began on the basis of April." said Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Property.
Statistics from Centaline Real Estate Research Center show that from school district housing control to new land regulations for centralized land sales, to interviews with the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, and market supervision upgrades, the number of house-related regulation and control has reached 186 times during the year, among which, the number of regulation and control in a single month in April 51 times, setting a new monthly regulatory high during the year.
Data map: The citizens pass by before a top real estate.
Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Yun
"During the May Day holiday, due to people choosing to travel more often, their attention to the property market has declined. At the same time, under the influence of tightened regulation in many places and stricter supervision of real estate financing, the property market has a general performance, compared with the same period in April. Insufficient, the transaction did not meet expectations." Chen Xiao, an analyst at Zhuge Real Estate Data Research Center also said.
Taking Hefei, which has intensively released regulatory policies, as an example, the Hefei Real Estate Association released the "Monitoring and Analysis of Market Changes in the Fourth Week of the New Real Estate Deal (April 26-May 2)", which pointed out that the volume and price of Hefei's commercial housing market have fallen. The number of residential units sold declined slightly, and the sales price fell for three consecutive years, falling below 19,000 yuan per square meter for the first time in nearly 5 weeks.
The second-hand housing market has also cooled down. During the period, the average transaction price of second-hand housing in Hefei urban area was 17,010 yuan/square meter, down 2.6% from the week before the New Deal; the average price in the restricted purchase area was 26,041 yuan/square meter, down 4.0% from the week before the New Deal. , The average price of non-restricted purchase areas was 15,165 yuan/square meter, up 2.4% from the week before the New Deal.
"On the whole, it is difficult for the supply to increase in the short term, and the credit policy is gradually tightening. It is expected that the rising trend of housing prices in first-tier cities will continue. With the tightening of regulation, housing prices in regulated hot cities will slow down." Zhang Dawei said.
(Finish)