Spain will exceed one and a half billion debt for the first time in 2022 if the Treasury complies with its emissions plan

• Public debt grows by 48,000 million in the first half of the year and stands at 116.8% of GDP

Public

in

breaks records year after year, it has grown by

at

at the end of June (

) and, if the Treasury Público complies with its emission plan for this year, it will end 2022 surpassing the

In the first half of the year, public debt has grown by 48,157 million euros, according to data published this Wednesday by the Bank of Spain, an amount lower than that recorded in the same period of 2020 and 2021 (years marked by the pandemic in which the debt skyrocketed by 101,778 and 78,931 million, respectively in that period), but

than that registered in

The

after the pandemic, partly driven by the expansive

and by other instruments such as

, has made it necessary to increase the volume of public debt so that the State could meet all its financing needs.

However, 2022 is a year in which the expenses derived from the pandemic should have subsided and in which European governments should begin the

despite the fact that the Stability and Growth Pact -which recommended that the debt should go down to 60% of GDP- is deactivated and is not a formal obligation for the member states.

Even so, the

has grown

mainly due to the needs of the Central State and Social Security, whose liabilities exceed 99,000 million euros.

The

, which is responsible for issuing public debt to finance the Kingdom of Spain, planned to issue

(letters, bonds and debentures) for a total value of

this year .

Until June, according to data from the supervisor, public debt has grown by 48,000 million, with which in the second half of the year

would remain to be issued to reach the objective set in the Financing Strategy for 2022. At the end of July , according to data from the agency, the debt issued amounts to 55,030 million, with what would remain to be issued

If these plans are fulfilled,

at the end of the year, although it is possible that the Treasury will act as it has done on other occasions and announce a reduction in emissions in the autumn, which would allow it to send the message to the market that you don't need to throw as much debt as you thought.

In fact, to achieve this effect, it is common for this body to slightly inflate its forecasts, and then cut them before the end of the year.

Now that the

is expected to tighten its monetary policy and

, it makes even more sense that the Treasury has concentrated the bulk of its issues in the first part of the year (it has already undertaken 70%) and avoids resorting excessively to the market in the second.

This Thursday the Treasury will undertake a new auction of State bonds and obligations, which will be followed by another 16 auctions -8 of bills and 8 of bonds and obligations- between now and the end of the year.

As for the weight of the debt compared to GDP, this represents

at the end of June -taking into account the product at the end of the first semester- and the Executive expects that at the end of the year it will remain at

For the year as a whole, the Government expects GDP to increase by 4.3% year-on-year, something that will be achieved with hardly any quarter-on-quarter growth recorded in the remainder of the year thanks to the rebound recorded in the first half.

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