It is noted that in the event that the Russian side can replace the falling oil exports to the EU by 50%, and the cost of a barrel of Brent oil is $100, the average annual exchange rate of the ruble against the dollar next year will be 83 rubles.
According to them, in the worst-case scenario, if Russia fails to replace the shortfall in supplies to Europe, the average exchange rate will be 93 rubles per dollar.
In the optimistic scenario, if Russia manages to redistribute 100% of exports, the exchange rate is forecast at 74 rubles per dollar.
Earlier, economist Mikhail Belyaev, in an interview with FAN, spoke about the prospects and role of the euro in the global economy.