The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "medical tightness," "number of medical treatments," and "positive PCR test" as indicators for determining which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. It shows five rates: "rate", "number of newly infected people", and "ratio of people whose infection route is unknown".
Of these, there are three items for "medical tightness": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, the four prefectures that have declared a state of emergency as of the 12th, the newly targeted Aichi and Fukuoka prefectures, and the roads to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" are currently applied. According to the data on the 12th of the four prefectures in total, there are many items that are the most serious "stage 4" in each region.
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical tight usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.
The usage rate of the entire sickbed is
▽ 49% in Hokkaido
,
▽
40% in Tokyo
,
▽
48% in Saitama
,
▽
33% in Chiba
,
▽
30% in Kanagawa
,
▽
65% in Aichi,
▽ Mie. 52% in
prefecture
,
▽ 60% in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 85% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 64% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 67% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 79% in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 73% in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ Ehime prefecture Is 27%.
1-2 Medical tight hospitalization rate
The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 3 and 25% or less for stage 4.
The hospitalization rate is
▽ 24% in Hokkaido
,
▽
33% in Tokyo
,
▽ Not
applicable in Saitama prefecture,
▽ Not
applicable in
Chiba prefecture,
▽ Not
applicable in
Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ Not applicable in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 38 in Mie prefecture %,
▽ 47% in Gifu prefecture
,
▽
10% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 17% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 20% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ Not applicable in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 33% in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ Not applicable in Ehime prefecture is.
Please refer to the end of the sentence for "Not applicable".
1-3 Medical tightness Severely ill
As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.
The bed usage rate for the severely ill is
▽ 16% in Hokkaido
,
▽
38% in Tokyo
,
▽
26% in Saitama
,
▽
11% in Chiba
,
▽
26% in
Kanagawa
,
▽
43% in Aichi,
▽ Mie prefecture 23%,
▽ Gifu prefecture 17%,
▽ Osaka prefecture 86%,
▽ Hyogo prefecture 78%,
▽ Kyoto prefecture 40%,
▽ Fukuoka prefecture 45%,
▽ Okinawa prefecture 73%,
▽ It is 24% in Ehime prefecture.
2 Number of recuperators
Next, as for the number of people receiving medical treatment, the standard is 20 or more for stage 3 and 30 or more for stage 4 per 100,000 population.
▽ 72 people in Hokkaido,
▽ 52 people in Tokyo
,
▽
37 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 22 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 23 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 61 people in Aichi prefecture,
▽ * 30 people in Mie prefecture,
▽ There were 48 people in Gifu prefecture,
248 people in Osaka
prefecture, 84 people in Hyogo prefecture
, 59 people in Kyoto
prefecture, 90 people in Fukuoka
prefecture, 82 people in Okinawa prefecture,
and 19 people in Ehime prefecture.
* "30 people" in Mie prefecture is the number rounded to "29.6 people".
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.
▽ 9.6% in Hokkaido,
▽ 7.1% in Tokyo
,
▽
5.3% in Saitama
,
▽
6.0% in Chiba
,
▽
6.7% in Kanagawa
,
▽
10.6% in Aichi
,
▽
5.6% in Mie,
▽ Gifu 8.0% in
prefecture, 6.4% in Osaka
prefecture, 12.9% in Hyogo prefecture,
9.1% in Kyoto
prefecture, 9.7% in Fukuoka
prefecture, 6.5% in Okinawa
prefecture, 1.8% in Ehime prefecture. ..
4 Number of newly infected people
As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.
▽ 54 people in Hokkaido,
▽ 44 people in Tokyo
,
▽
23 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 16 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 21 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 46 people in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 17 people in Mie prefecture,
▽ Gifu There are 41 people in the prefecture,
▽ 70 people in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 50 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 35 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 63 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 41 people in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ 10 people in Ehime prefecture. ..
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4.
▽ 56% in Hokkaido,
▽ 60% in Tokyo
,
▽
46% in Saitama
,
▽
58% in Chiba
,
▽
55% in Kanagawa
,
▽
50% in Aichi
,
▽
28% in Mie,
▽ Gifu It was 42% in the
prefecture, 59% in Osaka
prefecture, 48% in Hyogo prefecture,
47% in Kyoto
prefecture, 61% in Fukuoka
prefecture, 69% in Okinawa prefecture,
and 27% in Ehime prefecture.
The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the number, the more patients cannot be accepted. It is increasing, that is, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
▽ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
▽ When the number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage decisions are made for these municipalities.