The French newspaper Luton has published a report on developments in northwestern Syria, a site not far from the areas that irritate the Turkish army.
"Will we witness the recent attack by the regime forces in order to regain control of Syria, which was announced months ago?"
The regime has recently taken control of the village of al-Hubait, south of Idlib. The writer says that Idlib, which is dominated by jihadists, is the last major city that Bashar al-Assad's forces were unable to subdue.
Since April, with the resumption of attacks by the Syrian regime and its Russian ally, more than 3,000 people have been killed in the region, 810 of them civilians, according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. 400 people.
"The Syrian regime and the Russians are making a humanitarian time bomb by pushing civilians to the north," said Syria's geopolitical expert Fabrice Balanche. "The situation will be very bad in winter." Turkey fears that refugees will reach its borders.
Erdogan's patience
Turkey is the other major actor in this part of Syria, and with cautious support for the Syrian opposition, Ankara has been trying for months to impose a buffer zone along its border of at least 30 kilometers in Syrian territory.
The writer that the goal of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is to expel the YPG, but pressure from the United States, which supports these units, hindered this initiative.
This Kurdish armed group has been at the forefront of groups that have played a major role in defeating ISIS and are now counting on US support against the Turks.
Regarding reaching an agreement between Washington and Ankara on the buffer zone, Balanche said, "We are far from reaching any agreement. All these things are very fragile. Erdogan's patience is running out. He was preparing to launch the attack. The United States has done all it can "In order to defuse the crisis by promising a de-escalation zone, the Turks warned that they would resort to force in case of any delay or wrong move."
Kurds and Turkey
However, Fabrice Balanche believes that the Syrian regime may allow Ankara to continue implementing its plan until the end. "Idlib and the Kurdish northeast are linked. The Russians, the allies of the Syrian regime, have already negotiated with the Turks a lot. In return for the possibility of Turkey intervening in the West, thus preventing the annexation of Kurdish-controlled areas. "
`` This is the kind of agreement that is now taking place in the Idlib region, '' Balanche said, adding that the advance of the regime and Moscow in Idlib was a response to Ankara's takeover of the Kurdish city of Afrin near the Turkish border in 2018.
Turkey knows its borders, and as a member of NATO, it should deal with its Western partners, especially with the United States in the first place.
Ankara has recently angered Washington by buying missiles from Russia, which US President Donald Trump has considered bold and threatened to punish.
The United States has troops in northeastern Syria and does not intend to withdraw easily from the Syrian file under Turkish pressure. This presence maintains an alleged system as much as it fears the stiffness of situations.
"The problem is that the longer the Americans stay, the more they will support the Kurds and the Arab population will turn to IS," said Fabrice Balanche.