The scale of passenger flow has dropped significantly, and travel safety has attracted more attention
Interpreting "Special Spring Festival Transport" from Big Data
On March 8, at Dalian North Station in Liaoning, passengers were preparing to travel by EMU train.
According to data released by the Ministry of Transport, this year's Spring Festival transport nationwide has sent 870 million passengers by railways, highways, waterways, and civil aviation, a decrease of 70.9% over the same period in 2019.
Various localities actively responded to the call for "New Year's Day in situ", and passenger traffic dropped significantly compared to previous years.
Photo courtesy of Visual China
"This year's Spring Festival, have you come home?" For many wanderers who work outside, the 2021 Spring Festival is particularly special.
From the time of returning home from the previous year, to choosing to stay on the spot for the prevention and control of the epidemic this year, they said, "It will not be too late to go home after the new year" and "This is my hometown with peace of mind"...
This year's Spring Festival travel is the first Spring Festival travel under the normalization of epidemic prevention and control.
On March 8, the 2021 Spring Festival Transport came to an end.
According to data released by the Ministry of Transport, during the 40 days of the Spring Festival Transport, a total of 870 million passengers were sent by railways, highways, waterways, and civil aviation across the country, a decrease of 70.9% over the same period in 2019.
Various localities actively responded to the call for "New Year's Day in situ", and passenger traffic dropped significantly compared to previous years.
Among them, 220 million passengers were sent by railway, a 46.5% decrease from 2019; 600 million passengers were sent by highway, a 75.5% decrease from 2019; 15.366 million passengers were sent by water, a 69.7% decrease from 2019; and 35.398 million passengers were sent by civil aviation , A decrease of 51.5% from 2019.
Some analysts believe that under the background of the normalization of epidemic prevention and control, this return trip of the Spring Festival this year has once again witnessed the united Chinese anti-epidemic force.
Accurate and solid epidemic prevention and control measures make travelers feel more at ease, and the choice of many people to celebrate the New Year on the spot has also built a solid wall to fight the "epidemic".
Li Xiaopeng, Minister of Transport, said that the annual Spring Festival travel is a big test for the transportation system, and this year's Spring Festival travel is very special.
"The people actively responded to the call for the New Year on the spot, staggered and avoided peak trips, and reduced unnecessary trips. The passenger flow of the Spring Festival travel throughout the country remained low and stable, and the scale of passenger flow was significantly lower than in previous years." Li Xiaopeng said.
The effectiveness of epidemic prevention and control highlights the "V"-shaped passenger flow during the Spring Festival
According to relevant statistics, during the Spring Festival of 2021, more than 100 million people chose to celebrate the New Year in situ due to epidemic prevention and control. This is also the main reason for the obvious decline in passenger flow during the Spring Festival this year.
Baidu Maps "Migration Big Data" shows that the overall scale of migration across the country during the Spring Festival travel returns this year has dropped significantly, with the migration scale index down 50% from last year and 47% from 2019.
Ten provinces, including Heilongjiang, Beijing, Jilin, Hebei, Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing, Zhejiang, Liaoning, and Jiangsu, ranked the top ten in decline, each exceeding 55%.
In terms of population migration, the migration scale index of the four major first-tier cities of Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen all dropped significantly from the same period in the 2020 lunar calendar, with the largest drop of more than 10%.
Among them, under the multiple effects of epidemic prevention and control, the "In-situ Chinese New Year" initiative and subsidy policies, Beijing's migration scale index for the Spring Festival this year is the lowest among first-tier cities, with a decrease of 76.5%.
It is worth mentioning that thanks to the strong epidemic prevention and control work, this year's Spring Festival travel has shown a "V"-shaped trend.
Specifically, due to the obvious results of various policies in guiding passengers to reduce travel, the number of passengers traveling during the Spring Festival holiday this year is much lower than in previous years.
After the Spring Festival, people's willingness to travel has increased significantly.
Taking civil aviation as an example, civil aviation only carried 10.73 million passengers in the 20 days before the Spring Festival Transport (January 28 to February 16), a decrease of 67.25% from the same period in the Spring Festival Transport in 2020 and a decrease of 69.71% from 2019; February 17 (first month) On the sixth day of the sixth day) the market began to recover quickly. In the second half of the Spring Festival travel period (February 17 to March 8), civil aviation carried 24.66 million passengers in 20 days, a significant increase of 339.46% from 2020 and a decrease of 34.14% from 2019.
The same is true for railway passenger transport.
Before the Spring Festival, affected by the epidemic situation and the "New Year's Day" policy, the passenger flow of railways dropped sharply.
After the Spring Festival, with the stabilization of the epidemic prevention and control situation, people's willingness to travel has increased significantly, the railway passenger flow has stabilized and rebounded, and the demand for short-distance passenger flow has been strong.
"Safety" factor is even more valued, the car rental market continues to be hot
Under the premise of good prevention and control of the epidemic, how to achieve healthy and safe travel has become the most concerned issue for many passengers on their way home. Travel methods such as fewer transits and door-to-door travel have become people's first choice.
Some analysts believe that due to the impact of the epidemic, "safety" has become an important feature of the Spring Festival Transport in 2021, which has also driven the rise of related industries.
For example, due to the better privacy and safety of self-driving travel, the demand for self-driving to return home will increase due to the consideration of reducing gathering contacts, and the demand for returning home during the Spring Festival will increase accordingly.
Data from major car rental platforms confirms this view.
On February 24, Liandong Cloud Car Rental announced the platform's 2021 Spring Festival travel report.
Data shows that compared with the same period last year, the platform has provided a total of 1 million people with car rental travel services, and the total order volume has increased by 90% year-on-year.
A detail worthy of attention is that the report shows that the sinking market of the third-tier and below also showed obvious demand for cars during the Spring Festival this year.
Different from previous years, this year’s Spring Festival returnees have a more obvious need for safe travel. Shanwei, Dazhou, Nanchong, Wuzhou, Guangyuan, Ankang, Changde, Zunyi and other Spring Festival population inflow cities, the short-term rental car rental rates are all More than 70%.
Ctrip car rental data shows that under the call of the local Chinese New Year policy during the Spring Festival of 2021, the proportion of local car rental orders has increased significantly, an increase of 82% compared with the 2019 Spring Festival.
The "Research Report on China's Self-Driving Car Rental Industry in 2020" released by iResearch believes that my country's residents' transportation and communication consumption levels have increased, but the number of cars per 1,000 people is still at a low level, and the number of drivers is much higher than the number of cars.
When the epidemic prevention and control became normal, the epidemic has put forward new requirements for the safety of travel methods and epidemic prevention.
64.9% of users are more inclined to travel by car, and more than 40% are more concerned about the safety and privacy of transportation.
Therefore, a large number of "owners without cars" may release a large number of car rental needs, which provides new opportunities for car rental companies to cultivate users and tap users.
Efforts to improve the level of transportation services, these changes may affect the future Spring Festival transport
2021 is the first year of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and also the first year of accelerating the construction of a transportation power.
From the tunnels in the lofty mountains, to the busy routes of the motherland's 10,000-meter altitude, to the crisscrossed railway network, transportation is not only the "pioneer" of the national economy, but also closely related to everyone's happiness in travel.
At the 2021 National Transportation Work Conference held at the end of last year, the Ministry of Transport disclosed that it is expected that in 2021, the commercial passenger traffic of the whole society will increase by about 50% year-on-year, returning to about 90% in 2019.
It is reported that in addition to the rebound in passenger traffic, in 2021, the Ministry of Transport will focus on improving the level of transportation services.
For example, actively develop road-rail, air-rail, public-air and other joint transportation services to improve passenger travel service quality; encourage and standardize the development of customized passenger transportation; realize the popularization of road passenger electronic ticket services in 20 provinces, and promote the realization of "face-washing" entry Ride by car; continue to expand the interconnection and convenient application of the transportation all-in-one card; promote the optimization of the security inspection process between railways, civil aviation, and urban rail transit.
The "National Comprehensive Three-dimensional Transportation Network Planning Outline" (hereinafter referred to as the "Planning Outline") issued in February this year shows that by 2035, the total physical line network of the national comprehensive three-dimensional transportation network will total about 700,000 kilometers (excluding international land routes). The mileage of the outer section of the channel, air and sea routes, and postal routes).
Among them, there are about 200,000 kilometers of railways, about 460,000 kilometers of roads, and about 25,000 kilometers of high-grade waterways.
There are 27 major coastal ports, 36 major inland river ports, about 400 civil transportation airports, and about 80 postal express hubs.
The "Planning Outline" proposes that by 2035, a modern, high-quality, modern and high-quality national comprehensive three-dimensional transportation network that is convenient, smooth, cost-effective, green, intensive, intelligent, advanced, safe and reliable will be basically completed, to achieve international and domestic interconnection, three-dimensional access to major cities across the country, and county-level nodes. Effective coverage supports the "123 travel traffic circle nationwide", that is, one hour commute in metropolitan areas, two hours access to urban agglomerations, and three hours coverage in major cities nationwide.
In the special 2021 Spring Festival, every participant deserves to be praised.
There is reason to believe that as our country accelerates to become a transportation powerhouse, people will have a happier travel life in the future.
China Youth Daily·China Youth Daily reporter Cheng Honghe