Author: Lin Xiaozhao

With the national population decreasing by 2022,85 people in <>, which cities have seen more population growth?

After combing the data of 40 key cities (including major first- and second-tier cities and some large economic cities), the first financial reporter found that the 2022 cities with the largest population growth in 10 are Changsha, Hangzhou, Hefei, Xi'an, Guiyang, Nanchang, Kunming, Wuhan, Zhengzhou and Qingdao. In general, the top of the increase is mainly in the capital cities of the central and western regions.

Why Changsha's population increase ranks first in the country?

Data show that in 2022, a total of 6 cities will have a population increase of more than 10,5 people, namely Changsha, Hangzhou, Hefei, Xi'an, Guiyang and Nanchang, all of which are provincial capitals. Among them, <> cities are from the central and western regions, and only Hangzhou is from the developed eastern coastal areas.

Changsha, the capital of central province, will take the first place in the country in 2022 with a population increase of 18,13. As the capital of Hunan, a province with a large population in central China, Changsha is very attractive to all cities in the province. From the perspective of industry, Changsha's equipment manufacturing, culture, medicine, etc. are very prominent.

Taking the equipment manufacturing industry as an example, in recent years, Changsha has emerged star equipment manufacturing enterprises such as Sany Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Sunward Intelligence, and Railway Construction Heavy Industry, which is known as the "World Mechanical Engineering Capital". In terms of cultural industry, Changsha is a popular city on the Internet, and the cultural and entertainment industry is very prosperous.

The development of industry also provides a large number of employment opportunities, and the income level of residents is relatively high. In 2022, the per capita disposable income of Changsha residents will reach 58850,5 yuan, an increase of 9.<>%, basically synchronized with economic growth, and per capita income will continue to lead in the central and western regions.

In terms of housing prices, according to data from China House Price Quotation Network, in April this year, the average house price in Changsha was 4,11142 yuan per square meter, and among the 15 new first-tier cities, Changsha ranked the bottom in housing prices, which can better meet the needs of talents to settle down. Combined with Changsha's own good education, medical and cultural resources, it has attracted the inflow of many people in the surrounding areas.

After Changsha, Hangzhou ranked second with an increase of 17,2 people, and it was also the only city from the developed eastern coastal areas among the cities with a population increase of more than 10,<> last year.

Tang Haizu, vice chairman of the expert committee of Hangzhou Planning Commission, said that on the whole, Hangzhou's development foundation is relatively good, especially Hangzhou's digital economy has great development potential, attracting more talents to Hangzhou to develop.

At the same time, from May 5, the "Implementation Opinions of the General Office of the Hangzhou Municipal People's Government on Further Deepening the Reform of the Hukou System" was officially implemented. The opinions mainly deepen the reform of the household registration system in terms of liberalizing the settlement of ordinary college graduates, relaxing the settlement of skilled talents, and relaxing the settlement of dependents.

Hefei's population increase ranked third. Data show that in 2022, the permanent population of Hefei will be 963.4 million, an increase of 16,9 over the previous year, an increase of 1.79%; The proportion of the province was 15.72%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points over the previous year. From the perspective of growth mode, the permanent population is still dominated by migration growth, and the migration population of Hefei City will increase by 2022,13 in 5, driving a total increase of 1.4 percentage points year-on-year.

Hefei is not only the largest "Chinese home appliance industry base" in China, but also known as the "strongest venture capital city" in recent years. At present, Hefei not only has a number of leading semiconductor enterprises such as Changxin Storage and Jinghe, but also holds hands with new energy vehicle leading enterprises such as BYD and NIO. These industries have brought a massive influx of talent.

The capital of the central and western provinces performed well

From the perspective of the six cities with an increase of more than 6,10 people, there are not only Hangzhou, Changsha, Hefei and Xi'an cities with a trillion-level GDP, but also Nanchang and Guiyang, which are far from the trillion mark and are not high in the total GDP ranking of provincial capitals.

For example, Nanchang has a large gap between the total economic output of Wuhan, Changsha, Hefei and Zhengzhou among the capital cities of central provinces, and the first degree in the province is relatively low, but last year, Nanchang's population increased by more than 10,<> people, ranking sixth in the country.

Ma Zhihui, director of the Institute of Economics of the Jiangxi Academy of Social Sciences, analyzed First Finance and Economics that there were several factors in Nanchang's rapid population growth last year. On the one hand, Jiangxi has implemented the strategy of strengthening provincial capitals relatively strongly, and has issued a series of documents and measures; At the same time, Nanchang has also made great efforts to attract talents, greatly reducing the threshold for settlement. Another aspect is that Nanchang has undertaken some large projects and industrial transfers in the developed areas of the eastern coast, and some people employed on the eastern coast have also come to Nanchang.

Ma Zhihui said that Jiangxi used to have more migrant workers, but last year the coastal areas were affected by the epidemic, and many enterprises recruited relatively few people, so many people who originally went to the coastal areas to work returned to Jiangxi Province, and these people mainly entered Jiangxi's large and medium-sized cities, especially Nanchang to work, so Nanchang mainly inflows into the province's population. In addition, population growth is also related to the boom in innovation and entrepreneurship. In recent years, many people who originally developed outside the country have returned to Jiangxi to start a business, and Nanchang is the focus of their entrepreneurship. Under the influence of various factors, the permanent population of Nanchang has increased greatly.

Expanding to the top 10 cities in population growth, 9 cities are provincial capitals, and only Qingdao, which ranks <>th, is non-capital. Qingdao is a city with separate planning, a sub-provincial city, and the largest city in Shandong. In general, the trend of population further agglomeration in central cities is very obvious.

From the perspective of large regional distribution, among the top 10 cities with population growth, Hangzhou and Qingdao are from the eastern coastal region, and the remaining 8 cities are from the central and western regions, and all are provincial capitals. Among these eight cities, there are as many as six from the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River, of which Changsha, Hefei, Nanchang and Wuhan, the four provincial capitals in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River, are all listed, and the growth momentum is very strong.

Ding Changfa, associate professor of the Department of Economics of Xiamen University, analyzed that with the rise of comprehensive costs in developed coastal areas such as the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta, many industries have shifted to the central and western regions. The most advantageous region in the central and western regions is the middle and upper reaches of the Yangtze River, which are rich in land, labor, water resources, etc., and have undertaken a large number of industrial transfers, coupled with the improvement of transportation infrastructure such as high-speed rail, the economic development growth rate is relatively fast.

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics in April this year show that from the perspective of the areas of importation, the number of migrant workers flowing to the central and western regions has increased rapidly, while the number of migrant workers flowing to the northeast region has decreased. Among them, 4.15447 million migrant workers were employed in the eastern region, an increase of 9,0 over the previous year, an increase of 1.6771%; 200.3 million in the central region, an increase of 0 million over the previous year, an increase of 6436.156%; 2.5 million in the western region, an increase of 843.51 million over the previous year, an increase of 5.7%; In the northeast region, <>.<> million, down <>,<> from the previous year, down <>.<>%.

On the whole, the population growth of strong provincial capitals in the central and western regions last year was very prominent, and one of the factors was that the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta and other places along the coast were affected by the epidemic last year, and some people returned to their hometowns. With the optimization of epidemic prevention and control measures, this part of the population may return to the coastal areas for employment this year, and in this case, the population growth pattern of the city will inevitably change. So, will the population of the strong provincial capitals in the central and western regions continue to maintain rapid growth?

Ma Zhihui analyzed that from the perspective of Nanchang, after the optimization of epidemic prevention and control measures, whether the rapid population growth can be maintained, the key depends on how Nanchang's industry and economic development are, how well talent attraction and a series of service facilities are done, "the key is to practice hard."

On the other hand, in recent years, with the transfer of industries to the central and western regions and the rise of central cities in the central and western regions, the proportion of migrant workers in the region who are employed nearby is increasing. In this process, many people leave the coast and return to the mainland, often choosing the provincial capital of their province for employment. For them, choosing a provincial capital city near their hometown, the salary will not be much lower than that on the coast, the cost of going out has dropped significantly, and it is convenient to take care of the elderly and children.

Ma Zhihui said that more and more migrant workers will be urbanized nearby. In the past, Jiangxi had a large proportion of migrant workers who moved across provinces. In the future, if the industries of Jiangxi and Nanchang develop better and better, and if the construction of strong provincial capitals achieves results, then more and more people will remain. At the same time, if the business environment and entrepreneurial environment are getting better and better, more and more people will come back to start businesses and develop.