By 65, when the so-called baby boomer generation will be over 2040 years old, it is predicted that there will be a shortage of more than 1100 million people nationwide who will be responsible for working in companies and other organizations. The disparity between rural areas and Tokyo is becoming more serious.
This forecast was recently compiled by a research institute of Recruit, a major information service company, based on future forecasts of GDP = gross domestic product and forecasts such as the percentage of working people by gender and generation.
According to the report, the shortage of workers working in companies and other organizations will reach more than 2040 million nationwide by 1100.
By prefecture, all prefectures except Tokyo had a shortage, and 20 prefectures accounted for one-third of the total in areas where the shortage rate exceeded 18%.
The disparity between rural areas and Tokyo is becoming more serious.
Of these, Kyoto, Niigata, Nagano, and other cities with a shortage rate of more than 3% have a certain economic scale, so labor demand is increasing, but the background is that the labor force cannot keep up with the effects of the declining birthrate and aging population.
On the other hand, in rural areas such as Shimane, Kagawa, and Toyama, where the shortage rate is low, labor demand itself tends to decrease, and as a result, it remains at a low level.
Furthermore, by occupation, the shortage rate is expected to be high in "nursing care services" at 1.30%, as well as in "product sales," "drivers," and "construction and civil engineering."
Seito Furuya, Senior Researcher at the Recruit Works Research Institute, says, "Structural labor shortages will only make rural areas more and more difficult, and without a change in thinking, we will not be able to solve the shortage of workers that Japan society will face in the future."