The rise in the Minimum Wage will subtract up to 132,000 jobs
Who does the increase in the Minimum Wage affect?
The
Minimum Interprofessional Salary (SMI)
, which the Government has raised to
1,080 euros
in fourteen payments (1,260 euros per month or 15,120 per year) already represents
more than 60% of the average salary
in thirteen of the seventeen autonomous communities.
Only in
Madrid, Catalonia, the Basque Country and Navarra,
where salaries are on average higher, is the SMI
below that level.
This is reflected in a report published this Monday by
Randstad Research
, according to which
the SMI in Spain represents 60.3% of the average
monthly
salary -which stands at 2,089.5 euros per month-, but in some regions it far exceeds that proportion .
This is the case of
Extremadura
, where the SMI represents
75.7%
of the average salary;
Canarias
, where it is equivalent to 72.4%;
or
Andalusia
, where it represents 68.6%. It also has a higher proportion in Murcia (68.4%), Castilla-La Mancha (68.2%), La Rioja (67.6%), Castilla y León (67 .5%), the Valencian Community and Galicia (67.2%, respectively), Cantabria (65.6%), the Balearic Islands (64.8%), Aragon (63.3%) and Asturias (60.9%).
In all these regions, not only is the
promise
that the Government had collected in its Coalition program fulfilled: "We will raise the Minimum Interprofessional Wage until it progressively reaches 60% of the average wage in Spain as recommended by the European Social Charter", but that threshold is exceeded in some cases widely.
If the breakdown is analyzed at the
provincial
level , there are areas in Spain in which an SMI of 1,080 euros still represents a higher share of the average salary received, such as
Ávila
-where it is equivalent to
80.9%
-, according to Cepyme data ;
Zamora
(where it accounts for
80%
),
Salamanca
(76.1%), or
Alicante and Badajoz
(75.7%), among others.
According to the employers' association of small and medium-sized companies -which are the most affected by the increase-, in 24 provinces the minimum wage of 1,080 euros is equivalent to more than 65% of the average wage.
These levels are reached after the Government has approved this year -with the approval of the unions- an increase of 8% in the SMI, which places Spain at the
head
of the European Union in the
percentage that its minimum wage represents of the country's average salary
, equivalent to
60.3%
, followed by Slovenia (where the SMI accounts for 59.6% of the average salary);
Portugal (55.2%) and Poland (54.1%);
and far from the five largest economies in the EU such as France, where the SMI represents 51.8% of the average salary, or
Germany
, where it represents
47.5%.
The SMI has risen
47% since Pedro Sánchez arrived at Moncloa in 2018
, with the largest increase in the first year.
Since 2016
and
if the SMI is analyzed, adjusting it according to purchasing power to be able to compare with other countries, the SMI in Spain accumulates an increase of
61.3%
, up to
1,293 euros per month (adjusted)
.
This is the
eighth largest increase in the entire EU
, but it must be taken into account that the other seven countries in which the SMI has grown the most have reached levels below those of Spain.
Thus,
Romania is the country in which it has risen the most
in this period,
155.2%,
but up to 1,109 euros per month.
It is followed by
Lithuania
(+117.7%, up to 1,170 euros),
the Czech Republic
(+76.8%, up to 947.9 euros),
Poland
(+68.1%, up to 1,273.85),
Hungary
( +66%, up to 947 euros),
Bulgaria
(+65.9%, up to 717.14 euros) or
Croatia
(+62.4%, up to 981.08 euros).
The increase registered in Spain contrasts with that of other large euro economies such as
France
, where it has only risen
17%
in this period, but is now at 1,525 euros;
The Netherlands,
with an increase of 26.6%, up to 1,665.9 euros;
and
Germany
, where it has risen
36.8%
, to 1,843 euros -the highest SMI in the EU adjusted for purchasing power.
The
current SMI in Spain
, corrected for purchasing power parity,
is the eighth highest in the EU, with 1,293 euros per month
.
Only the German (1,843 euros), that of Luxembourg (1,750), Belgium (1,728), the Netherlands (1,665), France (1,525), Slovenia (1,366) and Ireland (1,327) are surpassed.
In
Portugal
it stands at
987.5 euros
and the accumulated increase since 2016 has been
39.5%
, according to Randstad, which highlights the curiosity that Spain is the country with a higher SMI compared to the average salary when it is
the The only one in the EU that has not recovered its level of activity prior to covid.
"These levels will not be reached again until the end of 2023 or the beginning of 2024. The labor market, in terms of working hours, has not recovered pre-pandemic levels either," they recall.
132,000 fewer jobs
According to his forecast, this latest increase in the SMI will mean a loss of between 75,000 and 132,000 jobs between 2023 and 2024, including the jobs that will be destroyed by the increase and those that will not be created due to higher wages.
The
most affected groups
will be those located in those provinces and communities with lower average salaries, those who work in the
sectors
with
the lowest average productivity
-which are also those that suffered the most from the slowdown in the second half of 2022- and
SMEs
.
In addition, they warn that "it will especially penalize
young people and
low-skilled
workers
, for whom keeping their job or finding one -if they are unemployed- will be more difficult."
If this job loss is fulfilled, it could be added to the one that, according to some experts, has already occurred due to past increases in the SMI.
According to Cepyme, "the strong increases in the Minimum Interprofessional Wage approved by the Government
since 2018
have caused the
disappearance of 256,200 jobs
: it has caused 105,800 workers to lose their jobs and has prevented another 150,400 people from finding one".
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