China News Service, February 22 (Reporter Li Jinlei) In the context of China's negative population growth in 2022, the population changes in various provinces have also attracted attention.

　　Zhongxin Finance noticed that as of February 21, 9 provinces have announced their 2022 population data, of which 8 provinces will have positive growth in 2022 permanent population.

The resident population of 8 provinces will grow positively in 2022

　　At present, the 2022 population data of 9 provinces including Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Guizhou, Gansu, Qinghai, Chongqing, Hainan, and Henan have been released.

　　Among them, eight provinces, Anhui, Jiangxi, Guangxi, Guizhou, Gansu, Qinghai, Chongqing, and Hainan, will have positive growth in permanent population in 2022.

　　Specific data show that by the end of 2022, the province's permanent population will be 61.27 million, an increase of 140,000 over the previous year.

At the end of 2022, Jiangxi's permanent resident population was 45.2798 million, an increase of 105,800 over the end of the previous year.

By the end of 2022, Guangxi has a permanent population of 50.47 million, an increase of 100,000 over the end of the previous year.

　　By the end of 2022, the province's permanent population will be 10.2702 million, an increase of 65,600.

By the end of 2022, Guizhou has a permanent population of 38.56 million, an increase of 40,000 over the end of the previous year.

By the end of 2022, Gansu has a permanent population of 24.92 million, an increase of 20,000 over the end of the previous year.

Qinghai has a permanent population of 5.95 million by the end of 2022, an increase of 10,000 from the end of the previous year.

By the end of 2022, the city's permanent population will be 32.133 million, an increase of 9,000 from the end of the previous year.

The picture shows tourists shopping for goods at the duty-free shop in Haikou Sun Moon Plaza.

Photo by Luo Yunfei

Why are the resident populations of these provinces growing against the trend?

　　According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, by the end of 2022, the national population will be 1,411.75 million, a decrease of 850,000 from 2021, and the total population will drop slightly.

The natural population growth rate was -0.60‰, a decrease of 0.94 per thousand points.

　　In the case of negative population growth across the country, why can the permanent population of these provinces grow against the trend?

　　Feng Wenmeng, director of the Research Office of the Public Administration and Human Resources Research Institute of the Development Research Center of the State Council, told Zhongxin Finance and Economics that most of the eight provinces with positive population growth are located in the central and western regions. On the one hand, in terms of fertility levels, compared with the eastern regions, Fertility levels in the Midwest are generally higher.

On the other hand, from the perspective of population flow, the population attractiveness of the central and western regions has been further enhanced in recent years. With the gradual transfer of industries to the central and western regions and the increase of local employment opportunities, the return of migrant workers will affect the mechanical growth of the population. made a positive contribution.

　　From the perspective of natural population growth rate (equal to population birth rate - population death rate), among the 8 provinces with positive population growth, the natural population growth rate of Guizhou, Qinghai, Hainan, Guangxi, and Jiangxi provinces is all positive. Among them, Guizhou is 3.71‰, 3.37‰ in Qinghai, 2.44‰ in Hainan, 1.43‰ in Guangxi, and 0.25‰ in Jiangxi.

　　From the perspective of population flow, Feng Wenmeng said that in recent years, some provinces in the central and western regions have experienced rapid economic growth. At the same time, they have also made great efforts in "grabbing people". The ability has also been further improved.

　　Taking Anhui as an example, China New Finance and Economics noticed that Anhui's permanent population will increase by 140,000 in 2022.

Data show that Anhui's GDP will reach 4.5045 billion yuan in 2022, an increase of 3.5% over the previous year. The total GDP will surpass that of Shanghai and rank among the top ten provinces in terms of GDP.

Since entering the national strategy for the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta, Anhui's position in the new development pattern has been significantly improved, and it has achieved a leapfrog development from a "traditional agricultural province" to a "emerging industry gathering place".

　　Another example is Jiangxi, where the resident population will increase by 105,800 in 2022.

Jiangxi's economy has grown rapidly in recent years, with a GDP growth rate of 4.7% in 2022, ranking first in the country with Fujian.

Jiangxi's GDP in 2022 will reach 3,207.47 billion yuan, exceeding 3 trillion yuan.

Data map: The teacher leads the children to play games in the classroom.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Yuan

A general decline in births

　　Judging from the provinces that have released population data, the decline in birth population is a general trend.

　　Among them, the annual birth population in Jiangxi was 325,000, a year-on-year decrease of 52,000; the province's birth population in 2022 was 733,000, a decrease of 60,000 compared with 2021, and the birth rate dropped by 0.58 per thousand.

　　The Henan Bureau of Statistics stated that affected by various factors such as the continuous decrease of women of childbearing age, changes in fertility concepts, delayed marriage and childbirth, population outflow, and population aging, the province's birth population will continue to decrease in 2022, and the death population will increase.

　　From a national perspective, the birth population in 2022 will be 9.56 million, a decrease of 1.06 million from 2021, and will fall below the 10 million mark.

　　Feng Wenmeng analyzed the reasons for the decline in the birth population. From a long-term perspective, with the increase in the number of years of education received by residents, the increase in women's willingness to participate in employment, the advancement of urbanization, and the development of social services, the public's attitude towards family, marriage, Concepts such as childbearing have undergone profound changes, and residents' willingness to bear children has declined.

From the perspective of short-term factors, due to the impact of the epidemic, some people postponed childbirth due to the inconvenience of pregnancy preparation and medical treatment.

There are also changes in the economic status of some people, which affect their fertility decisions and delay their fertility plans.

　　Data from the National Bureau of Statistics shows that the number of women of childbearing age continues to decline.

In 2022, the number of women of childbearing age aged 15-49 in my country will decrease by more than 4 million compared with 2021, of which women of childbearing age aged 21-35 will decrease by nearly 5 million.

　　Feng Wenmeng suggested that it is necessary to introduce targeted measures to alleviate the decline in the birth population. Multi-faceted efforts should be made to reverse the value orientation of reluctance to marry and have children through the advocacy of ideas and the introduction of supporting policies, so as to create a marriage and childbirth-friendly society.

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