China News Service, February 3rd (China News Finance and Economics Ge Cheng) According to the National Development and Reform Commission's notice, from 24:00 on February 3rd, gasoline will be raised by 210 yuan per ton, and diesel oil will be raised by 200 yuan per ton.

  This round is the third domestic oil price adjustment in 2023.

After the price adjustment, refined oil products showed a pattern of "two rises and one fall" during the year.

According to agency estimates,

this price adjustment is equivalent to an increase of 0.16 yuan per liter of No. 92 gasoline, 0.17 yuan per liter of No. 95 gasoline, and 0.17 yuan per liter of No. 0 diesel

.

Data map: gas station.

Photo by Ge Cheng, Sino-Singapore Finance and Economics

  Taking an ordinary private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L as an example, after the price adjustment, the

owner will spend about 8 yuan more to fill up a tank of fuel

.

In terms of diesel, for a large truck with a fuel tank capacity of 160L, it will cost about 27.2 yuan more to fill up a tank of fuel.

  "During this round of pricing cycle, the market continues to weigh the performance of both ends of supply and demand. Overall, the average price of anchored oil species has moved up during the pricing cycle, and the corresponding comprehensive rate of change of crude oil is running in a positive range, opening the window for this round of retail price increases. "

  Liu Wenjie, an analyst at Longzhong Information, said that although concerns about economic recession in Europe and the United States still exist, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories continue to grow more than expected, and Russia’s exports also show signs of growth, the continued recovery of Chinese demand has brought positive support, and the Fed has further slowed down interest rate hikes It is also basically a foregone conclusion, with crude oil futures prices firming and volatile.

  The next round of domestic refined oil price adjustment window will open at 24:00 on February 17.

  "In the short term, there is still downward pressure on international crude oil. The news will be suppressed to a certain extent in the later stage of the market, and the probability of a new round of retail price reduction is relatively high." Wang Yanting, an oil analyst at Jinlianchuang, said that at the end of this round of pricing cycle, the decline in international crude oil is relatively large. After entering a new round of pricing cycle, the rate of change will turn negative.

On the first working day after the price adjustment, the range of change is expected to be around -4%, corresponding to a reduction of around 200 yuan/ton for gasoline and diesel.

  "It is expected that the next round of refined oil prices will be lowered." Li Yan, an analyst at Longzhong Information, also holds the same view. "At present, concerns about economic recession in Europe and the United States are still continuing, and Russia's actual supply has not declined significantly. At present Based on the current international crude oil price level, the next round of refined oil price adjustments will start to show a downward trend.” (End)