China News Service, December 29 (Zuo Yukun, China News Finance reporter) From the end of the year, the big move of another trillion-dollar GDP city has attracted widespread attention, and many people have even called it the "opening of a new stage of real estate regulation". Iconic scene".

　　This is just recently, Dongguan City, Guangdong Province announced that it will withdraw from housing purchase restrictions.

In the toolbox of property market regulation, the common and flexible purchase restriction is undoubtedly one of the means to arouse market nerves.

Recently, a number of representative cities have made a fuss about the cancellation of purchase restrictions, which also reflects the meaning of laying the foundation for the steady development of both supply and demand in the market next year.

The policy shift of the two "trillion-level cities" in the Greater Bay Area

　　With the issuance of the "Notice on Further Optimizing Real Estate Control Policies" issued by the Housing and Urban-Rural Development Bureau of Dongguan City, the whole area of ​​Dongguan City has released housing purchase restrictions, which also means that the city's 6-year purchase restriction policy has been temporarily withdrawn from history since 2016. stage.

　　This is also the last step in Dongguan's current round of gradual relaxation of purchase restrictions on real estate.

Previously, Dongguan had made a trial in July, dividing the original purchase-restricted areas of the city into purchase-restricted areas and non-purchase-restricted areas.

　　Among the many real estate policy adjustments carried out in Dongguan this year, the removal of purchase restrictions in some of the above-mentioned areas has also been particularly effective.

Hefu big data shows that the volume and price of Dongguan's property market rose in July: 3,754 first-hand transactions, a slight increase of 2% year-on-year, and a sharp increase of 65% month-on-month; 9%.

　　Another big boost that has prompted Dongguan to fully liberalize purchase restrictions this round may be the "brother city" Foshan, Guangdong, in the Greater Bay Area, which also withdrawn from purchase restrictions half a month ago.

　　"Dongguan's model of withdrawing from purchase restrictions and replacing purchase restrictions with sales restrictions is exactly the same as Foshan's practice not long ago." Li Yujia, chief researcher of the Housing Policy Research Center of the Guangdong Provincial Urban Planning Institute, pointed out that core second-tier cities such as Nanjing, Foshan, Wuhan, and Dongguan have recently Judging from the withdrawal or contraction of the purchase restriction policy, a new round of policy relief on the demand side of the real estate market has begun.

Data map: Under the blue sky, high-rise buildings in the center of Dongguan.

Photo by Wang Jian

Intermediary: The number of consultations has increased significantly, and we look forward to the recovery of confidence

　　"Because many employees in the store have not yet returned to work, we still mainly use online consultation. In the past two days after the complete cancellation of purchase restrictions, we communicate with about a dozen customers every day. Before, there were about six or seven customers a day. It’s more than double that.” Lin Liu (pseudonym), who works in an intermediary agency in Dongguan City, told a reporter from Zhongxin Finance and Economics that several clients had already made an appointment with her to come out to see the house after they recovered.

　　Lin Liu is a "new Dongguaner". She and her colleagues often refer to Foshan and Dongguan as the "old three" and "fourth" in the Greater Bay Area.

Not long ago, the Foshan official announced that the purchase restriction will be fully lifted. Lin Liu’s colleagues in Foshan have also ushered in a round of work peaks. Not only has the house viewing and transaction volume increased significantly, but many developers have also followed the hot spots to increase prices. Straight up more than 2,000 yuan per square meter.

　　Will Dongguan, once the "No. 1 city in house price increase" usher in a situation similar to Foshan?

Lin Liu believes that it is more important to restore the confidence of the real demand group than the temporary investment enthusiasm.

　　Lin Liu mentioned that in fact, after the announcement of the "New Ten Measures" to optimize epidemic prevention and control, the real estate market in Dongguan, especially the core streets, has gradually shown some signs of recovery.

"During the difficult period this year, the store often failed to sell a house for two or three weeks. Now it can be opened almost every day, which is already a good sign."

　　Lin Liu still remembers that when he first arrived in Dongguan, his colleagues used the phrase "Dongguan is stuck in traffic, and the world is out of stock" to describe the status of the city.

Coupled with a GDP of more than one trillion yuan and a population of more than ten million, Lin Liu always believes that the economy and population are the real confidence for the future development of Dongguan's real estate.

　　"Of the 10.53 million local permanent residents in Dongguan, more than half of the non-registered population mainly live in urban villages. The city's housing ownership rate is only about 50%, and the housing conditions need to be improved urgently." Li Yujia also believes that Dongguan cannot rely on outsiders Investors, releasing the local demand potential by canceling restrictive home purchase policies is the fundamental strategy to stabilize the property market.

Data map: A real estate project under construction.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Zhang Bin

Restrictive policy will accelerate the exit from the stage of history?

　　Recently, the relevant person in charge of the Central Finance Office pointed out: "There are still some restrictive policies that hinder the release of consumer demand in areas such as housing consumption, and these consumption potentials must be released." Many industry insiders interpreted that "the restrictions that hinder the release of consumer demand Sexual policies" point to strictly restrictive real estate market regulation policies such as purchase restrictions, sales restrictions, loan restrictions, price restrictions, and business restrictions.

　　This has also been reflected in practice everywhere.

According to the statistics of the Middle Finger Research Institute, as of December 26, more than 330 provinces and cities (counties) across the country have issued more than a thousand loose policies for the property market, of which 111 in 48 cities involve optimized purchase restrictions, 240 in 173 cities involve optimized loan restrictions, and 41 in 33 cities. Articles involved optimizing sales restrictions, and 34 articles in 29 cities involved adjusting price limits.

　　This may just be the beginning, not the end.

"The real estate market must develop steadily, strengthen the resilience of the real estate market, and prevent the introduction of policies that are directly or indirectly unfavorable to the market." A few days ago, Qiu Baoxing, chairman of the China Urban Research Association and former deputy minister of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, publicly stated.

　　More and more voices believe that the withdrawal of restrictive policies such as purchase restrictions may become the trend of real estate regulation in the future.

　　"The new round of bailout policies on the demand side has started with hot new first-tier and second-tier cities. The financial support for real estate policies should be fully implemented, and policies should be implemented according to the city, so as to give full play to the positive effects of the policy." Zhuge Zhaofang Data Research Center Senior Analyst Guan Rongxue predicts that more popular second-tier cities will follow in the future. Except for the first-tier cities, other cities may completely cancel the purchase restriction.

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