The Euribor shoots up to 2.78% and makes mortgages more expensive at a higher rate than that registered in the real estate bubble
The
deterioration of the economic situation
has led
banks
to begin to
turn off the credit faucet
, something that has been noticed above all in the
mortgage segment , in which the largest drop recorded since the
year
has occurred in the third quarter
2008
after six consecutive quarters -year and a half- of increase in concessions.
This follows from the
Survey on Bank Loans
, published this Tuesday by the
Bank of Spain
, in which it is detected that between June and September, "the criteria for granting loans and the general conditions applied to new loans would have been tighten across the board in the third quarter of 2022" with a "
retrenchment in supply of greater intensity
in the segment of
financing to households for house purchase,
which registered the steepest drop since 2008".
This abrupt decrease in the granting of mortgages is due, on the one hand, to the fact that
the entities have detected more risks
due to the worsening of the macroeconomic perspectives, which has led them to be stricter, and, to a lesser extent, to the fact that
the customers would have requested fewer loans
to buy a home in view of the rise in interest rates and the cost of financing.
They also influenced "the
worsening in the solvency
of the borrowers, a
lower risk tolerance
on the part of the financial entities, the higher financing costs borne by the banks and a
lower availability of funds",
hence the percentage of rejected credits grew .
The institution headed
by Pablo Hernández de Cos
points out, in any case, that the increase in interest rates at which banks lend has not been as abrupt as that approved by the
European Central Bank (ECB)
, which this Thursday could approve a new rate hike of
75 basis points
.
"In most segments, this cost would have risen, on average, more slowly than the market interest rates that serve as a reference in each modality have."
In the case of mortgages, for example, the supervisor identifies that the rise in rates has only been partially transferred to costs, among other things due to the
high level of competition between entities.
To the fall in the granting of credit -which also affected the segment of loans to companies and consumer loans- in the third quarter,
a new decrease will be added in the fourth
(October, November and December), although it will be parallel to a greater collapse Of demand.
"For the last quarter of this year, the financial entities of the two areas [companies and individuals] expect that there will be, once again,
a general contraction in the supply and demand for credit,
in a context of deteriorating prospects macroeconomic conditions and in which the process of normalizing monetary policy is expected to continue", they point out.
Despite the fall in the granting of credit, banks will benefit from
higher profitability
due to the rise in interest rates.
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