Recently, a piece of news that "many megacities have fully liberalized settlements" rushed to the hot search on Weibo. The content shows that Zhengzhou, Guangzhou, Dalian and other places have introduced policies to fully liberalize settlement conditions.

　　Among them, Zhengzhou, a mega city that has attracted much attention (that is, a city with an urban population between 5 million and 10 million), plans to introduce new policy regulations. Those who have legal and stable employment or legal and stable residence (including rental) in the central urban area will not be allowed to Restricted by the social security payment period and residence period, you can apply for settlement in Zhengzhou.

　　In this regard, many industry insiders said that under the loose settlement policy, Zhengzhou and other megacities have objectively increased the demand for housing purchases while introducing talents, which has a certain positive effect on the stable development of the local property market.

However, whether it can really promote market transactions in the end remains to be seen.

Zhengzhou and other places comprehensively relax settlement conditions

　　At present, the "full liberalization of households" has ushered in a new climax again. Zhengzhou, the capital of Henan Province, may achieve "zero threshold" to settle down, and take a key step in the "war for people".

　　A few days ago, the Zhengzhou Public Security Bureau publicly solicited opinions on the "Implementation Opinions of the Zhengzhou Public Security Bureau on Further Deepening the Reform of the Household Registration System" and proposed to further relax the conditions for settlement in the central urban area. Persons who are renting) are not limited by the social security payment period and residence period, and they and their spouses, children and parents who live together can apply for urban resident household registration in Zhengzhou.

Among them, renting can also be settled as the biggest bright spot of the policy.

　　Yan Yuejin, research director of the Think Tank Center of E-House Research Institute, believes that Henan is a province with better urbanization promotion work and a province with greater potential. From the perspective of policy effects, the liberalization of household registration has a very good effect, helping to release the demographic dividend.

　　"This new settlement policy is good news for those of us working in Zhengzhou City. Before, our children were basically in their hometown and were brought by their grandparents to study in the township. After the new policy is officially implemented, the children can follow us. Settle down in Zhengzhou and enjoy the educational resources here." Yuan Liang (pseudonym), who has been "drifting" in Zhengzhou for many years, told reporters.

　　"Settling down is just the beginning. How to keep people is more critical." A local person close to the government department in Henan Province told reporters that if they want to develop further, Zhengzhou and other places will combine the stable and healthy development of the regional economy with the population strategy. While making full use of human resources, it is necessary to meet the income needs of relevant groups; at the same time, it is necessary to pay attention to optimizing and refining population public service policies, such as high-quality educational resources, medical service resources and other supporting measures to keep up.

　　The Beijing News reporter noticed that in addition to Zhengzhou, Dalian, Jinan, Kunming and other megacities, as well as Fuzhou, Shijiazhuang, Nanchang and other large I-type cities (that is, cities with urban populations between 3 million and 5 million) have also comprehensive Relaxation of settlement conditions.

For example, in May of this year, the Dalian Municipal People's Government issued the "Notice on the Comprehensive Liberalization of Household Settlement Conditions", which stated that personnel with a secondary vocational school education or above, professional and technical personnel with professional titles, college and secondary vocational school students, Persons with houses with legal property rights can settle in Dalian, and parents, spouses and children of persons with household registration in Dalian can also settle in Dalian.

　　In general, except for first-tier cities and individual strong second-tier cities, the threshold for settlement in most cities is already very low, or even "zero threshold".

The first-tier city Guangzhou has also optimized the conditions for settlement. In June, Guangzhou officially issued the "Guangzhou (Area) Implementation Plan for the National Urban-Rural Integrated Development Pilot Zone Guangqing Joint Area" to establish urban and rural areas in Huadu District, Conghua District and Zengcheng District. The population migration system with orderly flow includes further optimizing household entry conditions, lowering the threshold for urban household registration, establishing a classified and flexible household registration mechanism, adhering to the principle of prioritizing stock, and gradually removing restrictions on households for key groups of people.

"Zero threshold" settlement may help increase market expectations

　　For the real estate market, the liberalization of settlement conditions has lowered the threshold for home purchases, which will help increase the demand for home purchases.

Then, what impact will the relaxation of settlement policies in Zhengzhou, Dalian and other cities have on the real estate market, and can it help the market to recover?

　　In fact, including Zhengzhou, Dalian and other cities, the real estate market is still in the stage of recovery.

According to the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, the prices of newly-built and second-hand housing in Zhengzhou in August fell by 0.4% and 0.8% respectively from July.

In addition, according to the regional data of Keerui Henan, from January to August, the supply and sales of commercial housing in the main urban area of ​​Zhengzhou was close to "halving", and the price rose due to the impact of the improvement project; the area around Zhengzhou showed a trend of "shrinking", and the price continued to Descend.

The land market is also cold. On September 21, the second batch of centralized land supply in Zhengzhou in 2022 ended. Except for the 3 plots that were terminated on the eve of the sale, the remaining 14 plots were all sold at the reserve price.

　　In Dalian, according to data from the China Index Research Institute, from January to August, its commercial housing transaction area was 2.561 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 39.3%, and the commercial housing supply area was 3.17 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 28.2%; 1.737 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 49.3%, and the commercial housing supply area was 1.667 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 45.6%.

　　"If the local resettlement restrictions are lifted, the demand for housing purchases will also increase objectively while introducing talents, which may have a positive impact on the property market." A local real estate salesperson in Zhengzhou, Henan told reporters that people who will newly settle in Zhengzhou in the future will definitely To consume employment, fall in love and get married, and help the old and young, there will be a wave of demand for house purchases.

　　"If the above-mentioned settlement policy is successfully implemented, Zhengzhou will become the first city with a population of 10 million and a national central city to completely lift the settlement restrictions this year." According to Li Yujia, chief researcher of the Guangdong Housing Policy Research Center, from the perspective of non-Zhengzhou registered population groups , there must be some people who settled in Zhengzhou to enjoy public education resources; for other groups, the gold content of settling in Zhengzhou needs further evaluation.

Judging from the current real estate market environment in Zhengzhou, the implementation of this new policy may help to increase market expectations, but it remains to be seen what impact it will bring in the end.

　　Zhang Dawei, chief analyst of Centaline Real Estate, believes that it has become a trend to liberalize the settlement policy in megacities across the country. At present, except for a few cities such as Beijing and Shanghai, the basic national settlement policy has been relaxed.

For the real estate market, the liberalization of settlement is conducive to stabilizing the real estate market and accelerating the pace of urbanization.

　　Beijing News reporter Zhang Jian