• Companies use the trial period to lay off without cost after the end of temporary contracts

The Minister of Inclusion, Social Security and Migration,

José Luis Escrivá,

announced this Monday that

September

will close with the

creation of some 40,000 jobs

,

30% less

than those created in the same month of the previous year.

In

September 2021

, job creation amounted to

57,387

;

while in

2020

, it was

84,013

.

However, if the forecast presented today by the Ministry is fulfilled,

this September would be better than those prior to the pandemic,

since 3,224 jobs were created in 2019;

in 2018, 22,899;

in 2017, 26,318;

in 2016, 12,025;

in 2015, 8,916 and in 2014, 12,182.

In all these years September ended with a creation of jobs lower than the current one, while

in the Septembers from 2009 to 2013 jobs were destroyed.

Even so, it is true that historically September has been preceded by a

positive August

for employment, something that has not happened in this 2022, in which 189,963 jobs were destroyed in August, so the balance of the two months August- September has not been so positive for the country.

In

seasonally adjusted

terms , which the Ministry usually highlights, Escrivá has reported that September will close with the creation of

60,000 jobs

, also

27% less

than those created in September 2021 in seasonally adjusted terms, a total of 82,184, 0 .42% more than in the same month of 2020.

The minister highlighted that in August 2021, Spain recovered the pre-pandemic level of employment in the number of Social Security affiliates (since in the number of hours actually worked we are still 0.2% below, as the Bank warned last week). of Spain) and, since then,

the country has created 750,000 more jobs.

So far in

2022 ,

400,000 new jobs

are recorded in seasonally adjusted terms.

Each month, on average, 44,000 jobs have been created so far this year, while in summer (June, July and August), monthly job creation has averaged 52,000 jobs, according to seasonally adjusted data from the Ministry.

"Despite the growing uncertainty, the data for the third quarter as a whole

confirm the good behavior of employment" ,

Escrivá

highlighted

at a press conference.

The minister says that he has not detected

any sector in which there is a particular weakness

in employment and maintains that "everyone is behaving very reasonably".

"Those that had some weakness in the second half of July, such as construction, commerce and a little agriculture and education, are already at normal levels for this time of year or even higher. In this fine and daily analysis by sectors and subsectors,

we are not seeing any significant effect on job creation",

he stressed.

In fact, Escrivá has highlighted that "despite what is falling, with a very complex international environment since the beginning of the year, with a rise in energy prices, hiring in Spain reflects forward-looking business decisions. These 400,000 jobs that created in 2022

should lead analysts to reflect on the resilience of the Spanish economy

(...) I am surprised by the reflections that this is going to go wrong when I should be analyzing why month after month this is resisting so well".

He lashes out at critical reports: "I'm surprised by the arrogance"

The minister has taken advantage of his speech to openly criticize institutions and organizations that present reports in which they doubt the effectiveness of their reforms, such as the

Bank of Spain, BBVA Research or Fedea.

In the first place, he referred to the report published by some authors from the Bank of Spain last week, in which they estimated that an increase in the calculation period to 35 years for calculating the pension would mean a pension cut of 8%.

"

I have not read the report. The important thing is not the report

, which uses data that we have provided and that should not be very different from what we do in Social Security with broader sources of information. It is not a report, it only links to the authors, I hope that one day, given that the Bank of Spain publishes hundreds of reports by many authors, they will no longer be attributed to the Bank of Spain. Here

the important thing is what the recommendation of the Toledo Pact says.

This is not about a cut of pensions in any case".

He has also referred to a report published this Monday by Fedea, in which the effectiveness of the reform of the Special Regime for Self-Employed Workers (

RETA

) and the

pension reform are questioned in

order to guarantee the sustainability of Social Security.

"Its author had options to make a reform of the RETA and I am surprised that someone who spent 7 years, even with absolute majorities, in charge of the management of Social Security makes

punctilious observations

of a reform that has received acclaim from all and has achieved the consensus with all organizations and social agents and has been approved in Parliament with a very high result.

This contempt that some academics sometimes have

for great consensus and agreements

never ceases to amaze

me ,

it seems to me to be surprisingly arrogant.

They are people installed in doing reforms like those of 2013 that neither reach consensus nor are approved and that die in time, and furthermore

refers to things that are not true,

such as messages from the European Commission," he complained.

Its target of criticism has also reached

BBVA Research

, given that the job creation data it publishes in seasonally adjusted terms

do not coincide with those of the Ministry

, casting doubts on the advisability of replacing the reading of the average affiliation (the one that month by month registered in Social Security and which has traditionally been used to measure employment) by the seasonally adjusted series (statistically manipulated so that the monthly evolution is comparable; that is, that job creation in February can be compared with that in August).

"I think there has been

a mistake that BBVA has made

when seasonally adjusting, because

they have few resources and they go through the roller pattern,

" Escrivá commented.

Regarding the information published this Monday by EL MUNDO, about the increase in the

use of the trial period

to end labor relations due to the impossibility of using temporary contracts, as a result of the labor reform, Escrivá has described this practice as "

anecdotal

" and, "without ruling out specific cases", he has condemned "making the particular something general".

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